NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	7.1 [384]		MVP	Jae Crowder (DAL): +19.5%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	5.2 [161]		LVP	Michael Beasley (PHX): -22.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.08	0.00	7	81%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	10	65%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bernard James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	9	83%	0.17	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	14	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	19	47%	-0.03	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	20%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	-0.00	11	71%	0.24	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.01	15	53%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	13	52%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	14	56%	0.07	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.04	12	65%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.03	-0.00	13	15%	-0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	32.6	15.6	25.9	2.7	35.5	137.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +18.8%

PHX -1.0%

DAL +19.9%

DAL +8.5%

DAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.4	109.0	99.0	104.1
season	14.5	15.2		104.3	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	12.3	14.4	18.6	14.6
PHX	14.5	12.9	16.2	13.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	56	56	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.12	19	-9	28	14.5	14.8	-0.31	13.8	14.7	-0.86
Brandan Wright	39	38	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-2	14	15.6	14.0	1.55	13.5	14.6	-1.05
Bernard James	35	35	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-3	16	15.3	14.3	0.98	13.2	14.7	-1.55
Mike James	35	33	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	4	2	15.9	13.9	2.04	13.8	14.3	-0.49
O.J. Mayo	77	77	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	4	2	14.5	14.9	-0.32	14.4	13.6	0.80
Jae Crowder	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	9	-8	14.9	14.3	0.53	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Darren Collison	65	67	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	13.9	15.9	-2.04	14.3	13.8	0.49
Shawn Marion	63	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	9	-8	14.1	15.5	-1.38	14.4	13.7	0.76
Dahntay Jones	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	16	-22	14.6	14.6	0.03	15.0	14.0	0.95
Elton Brand	63	62	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	16	-22	14.2	15.4	-1.16	14.9	13.1	1.82

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	70	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-10	10	14.4	13.6	0.88	14.0	16.0	-1.92
Marcin Gortat	63	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-10	10	15.0	12.8	2.13	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Kendall Marshall	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	12.4	14.6	-2.16	16.8	14.1	2.71
Markieff Morris	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-7	4	13.3	14.5	-1.19	14.8	14.6	0.22
Luis Scola	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-10	10	13.5	15.5	-1.96	15.6	12.7	2.82
PJ Tucker	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.5	13.4	1.09	14.6	14.6	0.02
Goran Dragic	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	14.6	12.4	2.16	14.1	16.8	-2.71
Shannon Brown	46	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	3	-16	13.3	14.9	-1.62	15.2	14.1	1.11
Michael Beasley	60	58	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	6	-22	14.5	13.7	0.72	14.1	15.4	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.12,0.06,0.02,0	93.1%
POR 110, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.02,0.04,0	92.3%
BOS 93, NOH 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.2%