NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	86		Excitement	5.0 [818]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +9.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	2.6 [714]		LVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): -13.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	14	68%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	18	53%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	58%	0.07	5	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	7	25%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	-0.05	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.07	0.07	20	63%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	57%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	47%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Omar Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.6	30.1	16.0	26.6	2.0	32.3	137.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.8%

LAC -9.1%

POR +17.8%

POR +2.1%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	17.6	15.7	98.9	117.4	100.5
season	15.5	17.1		101.3	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.0	14.7	17.4	18.4	15.7
POR	19.1	16.7	16.9	17.6	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-15	15	15.2	15.9	-0.73	18.5	17.2	1.34
Chris Wilcox	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-14	13	15.5	15.9	-0.32	16.5	18.2	-1.75
Quentin Richardson	78	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-10	5	15.9	14.3	1.56	17.6	17.7	-0.15
Eddie House	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-5	-5	16.1	15.3	0.76	17.2	18.0	-0.81
Elton Brand	76	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-5	-5	15.9	14.7	1.15	18.2	14.0	4.21
Marko Jaric	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	0	-15	15.3	16.4	-1.07	17.8	17.2	0.60
Chris Kaman	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	1	-17	15.6	16.0	-0.35	17.4	18.0	-0.51
Corey Maggette	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	3	-21	15.8	15.4	0.47	17.3	18.6	-1.34

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-1	17	17.5	17.9	-0.39	15.8	15.4	0.47
Derek Anderson	70	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.00	17	-2	19	17.9	16.0	1.93	16.2	13.5	2.66
Zach Randolph	55	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-4	23	17.0	18.6	-1.58	16.1	15.0	1.09
Damon Stoudamire	60	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	11	-7	17.9	16.8	1.15	15.3	16.8	-1.47
Omar Cook	28	28	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	5	5	16.7	18.0	-1.27	16.7	15.3	1.50
Theo Ratliff	45	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	11	-7	18.1	17.0	1.18	15.5	16.0	-0.41
Ruben Patterson	36	37	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.14	11	4	7	18.5	16.9	1.60	15.8	15.7	0.13
Dale Davis	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	13	-11	16.8	17.8	-1.00	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Darius Miles	43	44	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	21	-27	17.8	17.3	0.53	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Qyntel Woods	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	10.7	17.8	-7.15	12.0	15.8	-3.82
Dan Dickau	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	10.7	17.8	-7.15	12.0	15.8	-3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 70, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DEN 96, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 105, WAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%