inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 96 Excitement5.8 [662] MVPDonatas Motiejunas (HOU): +15.5%
Houston Rockets 108 Comeback3.8 [608] LVPArron Afflalo (DEN): -16.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Arthur0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.020.031467%0.131-0.032100%0.02
JJ Hickson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01764%0.062-0.04850%-0.02
Kenneth Faried0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.00-0.00-0.02744%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Ty Lawson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.010.071361%0.042-0.05580%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.00937%-0.0300.00650%-0.02
Timofey Mozgov-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Alonzo Gee-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.03425%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Gary Harris-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.0440%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Erick Green-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02729%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.011335%-0.072-0.0300%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.160,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.14-0.03-0.021732%-0.083-0.083100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.03-0.011962%0.171-0.01250%-0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.030.041167%0.132-0.041747%-0.09
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.011441%0.0200.00450%-0.03
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.002049%0.113-0.10989%0.03
Troy Daniels00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.02520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tarik Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02125%-0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Joey Dorsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03944%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.010.02950%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.51.632.415.533.21.828.8141.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +43.2%
DEN -0.4%
DEN -4.8%
HOU +11.1%
HOU +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENHOUNBADENHOUNBA
this game13.613.915.191.4102.9104.2
season14.614.3103.4105.6
opponent14.915.3103.1106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.214.514.213.213.6
HOU16.612.113.513.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jusuf Nurkic42420.09-0.590.68-0.117-192612.514.3-1.7113.913.80.12
Kenneth Faried45420.03-0.530.55-0.032-141612.914.1-1.2314.413.50.91
Erick Green2225-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-131413.013.7-0.6713.314.0-0.71
Darrell Arthur5453-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-151813.114.0-0.8713.414.4-1.01
Alonzo Gee2223-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-10813.313.7-0.3813.014.1-1.15
Gary Harris2832-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-10812.114.1-2.0012.914.3-1.41
JJ Hickson4546-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-6014.412.91.5315.312.72.65
Ty Lawson8684-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.03-11-1-1013.713.00.7014.212.51.73
Timofey Mozgov2930-0.37-0.13-0.250.07-153-1815.612.82.7812.914.2-1.29
Arron Afflalo8380-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-153-1813.812.81.0114.013.30.71
Wilson Chandler6968-0.600.10-0.690.05-2210-3214.012.71.2913.614.3-0.72

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard66660.85-0.351.20-0.1735-235812.616.0-3.3714.811.43.40
Trevor Ariza91910.73-0.230.950.0224-123613.715.1-1.4013.911.72.14
Patrick Beverley74740.63-0.130.76-0.0222-103213.614.5-0.9814.611.03.60
James Harden84840.380.120.260.1584413.515.1-1.5513.314.7-1.43
Donatas Motiejunas70700.370.130.240.1384413.714.1-0.3913.813.10.73
Nick Johnson34340.080.42-0.340.02210-812.014.7-2.7012.414.1-1.67
Jason Terry56550.000.50-0.490.30-1022-3215.412.13.3712.315.0-2.77
Troy Daniels430.000.50-0.500.09-315-1814.713.80.9314.013.60.44
Tarik Black1516-0.140.64-0.780.03-618-2416.513.43.1211.613.9-2.37
Joey Dorsey3132-0.400.90-1.300.19-2032-5216.612.73.9612.314.1-1.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 86, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
POR 106, PHX 1200.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%
MEM 88, DAL 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.6%