NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	3.0 [1176]		MVP	Brian Cardinal (GSW): +13.7%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.1 [1180]		LVP	Zarko Cabarkapa (PHX): -13.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	77%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	20	61%	0.02	5	-0.07	14	79%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	18	37%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.01	0.07	16	58%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	4	31%	-0.06	4	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	14	82%	0.17	2	-0.03	11	91%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	19	47%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	58%	0.01	3	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	12	29%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.0	28.2	16.5	27.5	2.3	29.5	132.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +24.7%

GSW +3.8%

GSW +4.3%

GSW +15.5%

GSW +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	12.9	16.5	15.7	102.1	111.1	100.5
season	14.6	16.1		99.6	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		101.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.5	13.2	10.6	11.6	12.9
GSW	15.5	15.6	16.1	18.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	46	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-24	37	12.8	12.9	-0.08	17.2	15.8	1.38
Casey Jacobsen	37	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-17	23	13.0	12.8	0.22	17.8	15.6	2.25
Zarko Cabarkapa	22	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-5	-1	14.4	12.4	2.00	16.8	16.4	0.39
Jahidi White	22	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	5	-21	13.7	12.6	1.11	15.6	16.7	-1.09
Howard Eisley	52	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-12	13	13.4	12.2	1.24	17.2	15.6	1.58
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	1	-13	12.2	13.4	-1.24	15.6	17.2	-1.58
Shawn Marion	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	12.9	12.8	0.04	16.4	17.2	-0.77
Amar'e Stoudemire	90	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	4	-19	12.8	13.9	-1.07	15.9	23.6	-7.77
Joe Johnson	86	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	5	-21	12.3	17.4	-5.07	16.4	17.4	-0.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	59	56	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.20	25	-14	39	15.1	18.5	-3.47	13.5	12.0	1.58
Speedy Claxton	80	78	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-7	25	16.1	18.1	-1.94	12.9	12.8	0.10
Brian Cardinal	93	91	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-2	15	16.3	18.7	-2.32	12.6	16.5	-3.87
Jason Richardson	81	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-4	19	16.3	17.4	-1.17	13.1	11.8	1.34
Clifford Robinson	73	71	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-1	13	17.0	14.9	2.12	13.1	12.2	0.92
Calbert Cheaney	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	10	-9	16.9	16.1	0.78	11.7	14.0	-2.29
Mike Dunleavy	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.30	-10	21	-31	17.0	16.3	0.67	13.3	12.7	0.58
Avery Johnson	19	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	18	-25	18.1	16.1	1.94	12.8	12.9	-0.10
Adonal Foyle	18	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.27	-12	23	-35	18.8	16.0	2.80	12.5	12.9	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
UTA 89, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DAL 89, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%