NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	2.3 [1237]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +9.1%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	1.0 [1178]		LVP	Jarron Collins (UTA): -7.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Handlogten	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	16	41%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.00	0.07	11	64%	-0.03	2	-0.03	11	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	19	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	19	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	83%	0.11	2	-0.02	8	62%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	14	57%	0.05	2	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	7	45%	0.02	4	-0.04	8	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.09	7	50%	0.02	6	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	25.5	15.5	30.3	2.4	35.5	132.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.8%

GSW +0.4%

GSW +4.8%

GSW +1.4%

GSW +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	13.7	15.7	89.9	96.9	100.5
season	17.2	16.1		99.4	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	16.4	14.0	15.1	15.5
GSW	13.5	13.0	14.2	14.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Lopez	42	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.32	8	-14	22	15.1	15.8	-0.68	15.6	12.5	3.15
Ben Handlogten	18	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	2	-10	16.3	15.3	0.97	12.4	14.0	-1.66
Greg Ostertag	70	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-9	12	15.4	15.7	-0.29	13.6	14.1	-0.46
Sasha Pavlovic	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	1	-8	15.1	15.7	-0.53	12.9	14.2	-1.23
DeShawn Stevenson	71	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-9	12	15.1	16.4	-1.27	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Raja Bell	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	2	-10	15.7	15.1	0.60	14.3	12.7	1.55
Jarron Collins	52	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	3	-12	15.4	15.6	-0.21	14.0	13.5	0.54
Andrei Kirilenko	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.47	2	-8	10	15.7	14.0	1.73	14.0	12.1	1.92
Carlos Arroyo	57	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	8	-22	15.8	15.1	0.68	12.5	15.6	-3.15

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-9	24	13.1	16.3	-3.12	15.8	14.1	1.74
Jason Richardson	69	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	-1	8	13.3	14.8	-1.49	15.5	15.4	0.06
Mike Dunleavy	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	-2	10	13.4	15.1	-1.69	15.5	15.4	0.07
Erick Dampier	63	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.29	2	4	-2	13.4	14.4	-1.02	15.5	15.4	0.18
Nick Van Exel	69	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	5	-4	13.3	14.7	-1.34	14.8	17.1	-2.31
Speedy Claxton	29	28	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	1	4	14.7	13.3	1.34	17.1	14.8	2.31
Brian Cardinal	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	7	-8	14.7	12.8	1.82	15.8	15.2	0.54
Calbert Cheaney	51	51	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	11	-16	15.4	12.0	3.39	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Dan Langhi	2	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	8	-10	13.5	13.7	-0.25	5.0	15.8	-10.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 106, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	98.1%
MIA 81, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DAL 95, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%