NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	106		Excitement	2.6 [1236]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +9.3%
Houston Rockets	118		Comeback	1.4 [1150]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -7.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.30	0.00	0.23	20	85%	0.12	4	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Devonte' Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	12	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	12	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.07	11	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	12	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Malik Monk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	12	38%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	14	69%	0.10	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	12	70%	0.08	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.06	1	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.01	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Gary Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	9	33%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	0.08	21	52%	-0.04	4	-0.04	12	92%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	24.7	14.0	27.0	1.8	26.2	123.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +12.8%

HOU +10.3%

HOU +16.7%

HOU +7.1%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	14.3	108.2	116.8	109.3
season	14.6	14.8		110.4	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.3		109.3	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	14.5	15.6	13.5	14.6
HOU	12.4	14.3	16.4	14.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	60	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-19	26	14.4	14.8	-0.44	15.0	13.3	1.74
Willy Hernangomez	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	14.4	14.7	-0.27	14.9	13.9	1.01
Frank Kaminsky	44	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-10	8	14.3	14.8	-0.46	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Bismack Biyombo	14	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	4	-20	15.9	14.4	1.50	11.5	14.8	-3.34
Malik Monk	53	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-13	14	13.9	15.4	-1.53	14.6	14.1	0.56
Devonte' Graham	38	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	5	-22	14.6	14.6	0.01	13.8	14.7	-0.91
Jeremy Lamb	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-2	-8	14.8	13.6	1.22	14.4	14.4	-0.04
Dwayne Bacon	70	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	14.8	14.0	0.80	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Kemba Walker	83	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-7	2	14.7	13.8	0.91	14.4	14.5	-0.11

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	-10	32	13.6	16.2	-2.59	15.0	13.6	1.35
James Harden	75	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	1	10	13.3	17.5	-4.21	14.8	13.8	1.09
Clint Capela	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	9	-6	15.4	12.8	2.61	15.0	13.9	1.00
Kenneth Faried	44	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.17	16	-4	20	12.7	15.7	-3.04	14.3	14.7	-0.42
PJ Tucker	68	65	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	-1	14	13.7	15.8	-2.14	14.9	14.0	0.86
Austin Rivers	46	42	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	10	-8	13.9	14.7	-0.81	15.0	14.2	0.83
Iman Shumpert	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	12	-12	15.9	13.4	2.52	13.8	15.1	-1.25
Chris Paul	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	9	-6	15.5	12.7	2.89	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Gerald Green	38	36	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.43	-9	21	-30	16.5	13.1	3.36	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Gary Clark	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	16.3	14.3	2.02	10.7	14.7	-4.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	98.1%
LAC 88, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
GSW 87, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%