NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	1.8 [1245]		MVP	Michael Finley (PHX): +4.3%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	1.3 [887]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -7.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Owes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	8%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lou Roe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	14	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	3	78%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	14	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	18	46%	-0.07	3	-0.01	12	83%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	12	66%	0.05	4	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	68%	0.04	1	-0.00	13	85%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	13	35%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	7	81%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	6	72%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	13	65%	0.01	2	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	5	46%	-0.01	2	0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	26.3	15.8	33.0	2.5	22.5	126.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +27.9%

PHX +5.9%

PHX +5.4%

PHX +10.4%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	13.1	15.6	87.0	116.8	104.4
season	15.0	14.6		104.4	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.2	16.1	12.0	17.8	15.6
PHX	12.1	13.9	12.0	15.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-20	9	18.1	15.1	2.93	15.2	12.8	2.43
Andrew DeClercq	17	18	-0.09	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-30	29	12.9	16.1	-3.21	13.9	13.0	0.94
Lou Roe	24	25	-0.09	-0.42	0.33	0.29	-13	-18	5	17.2	15.0	2.13	15.8	12.2	3.56
Ray Owes	34	35	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.18	-10	-21	11	16.4	15.1	1.31	14.3	12.5	1.74
Donald Royal	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.37	-17	-14	-3	16.8	15.0	1.74	15.0	12.3	2.63
Donyell Marshall	33	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.37	-18	-13	-5	16.8	14.9	1.94	14.3	12.5	1.82
B.J. Armstrong	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-21	11	15.0	15.9	-0.92	14.3	12.4	1.91
Felton Spencer	41	42	-0.25	-0.26	0.01	0.04	-10	-21	11	15.3	15.7	-0.35	12.2	13.8	-1.59
Mark Price	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-16	1	15.6	15.5	0.07	12.1	14.4	-2.34
Chris Mullin	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-17	3	15.0	16.8	-1.74	12.3	15.0	-2.63
Joe Smith	66	65	-0.41	-0.10	-0.30	0.12	-18	-13	-5	15.0	16.5	-1.48	12.0	15.1	-3.14
Latrell Sprewell	76	76	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	-13	-5	15.0	17.2	-2.13	12.2	15.8	-3.56

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	85	84	0.51	-0.00	0.51	-0.31	28	3	25	13.1	13.2	-0.08	15.6	15.4	0.21
Wesley Person	65	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	20	-9	12.9	13.5	-0.64	15.0	16.5	-1.57
Michael Finley	62	61	0.35	0.16	0.19	-0.03	13	18	-5	12.4	14.2	-1.81	14.6	17.0	-2.42
Hot Rod Williams	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	20	-9	12.1	14.4	-2.34	14.4	16.9	-2.52
Kevin Johnson	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	20	-9	12.1	14.4	-2.34	14.4	16.9	-2.52
Sam Cassell	35	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	22	-13	14.1	12.6	1.52	16.4	15.1	1.35
Danny Manning	54	55	0.17	0.34	-0.17	-0.27	15	16	-1	14.0	12.1	1.85	16.3	14.6	1.69
Robert Horry	39	39	0.16	0.35	-0.19	-0.37	18	13	5	14.2	12.4	1.81	17.0	14.6	2.42
Rex Chapman	36	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.46	20	11	9	13.5	12.9	0.64	16.5	15.0	1.57
Steve Nash	11	11	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.32	11	20	-9	15.3	12.9	2.42	18.5	15.2	3.26
Joe Kleine	8	7	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.23	8	23	-15	14.7	13.0	1.77	18.1	15.4	2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
CLE 113, HOU 141	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
NJN 87, TOR 116	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%