inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 87 Excitement1.5 [1261] MVPDoug Christie (TOR): +9.5%
Toronto Raptors 116 Comeback1.0 [983] LVPStephon Marbury (NJN): -4.9%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Van Horn0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.031346%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Kerry Kittles0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.07533%0.0110.01250%-0.00
Johnny Newman0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.000.071567%0.0120.00367%0.00
Jamie Feick0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.001148%0.0000.00367%-0.00
Elliot Perry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.110.00-0.11337%0.0040.00250%0.00
Michael Cage0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jim McIlvaine-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Scott Burrell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Lucious Harris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01629%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Kendall Gill-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031338%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Sherman Douglas-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.00250%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.001550%-0.013-0.046100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug Christie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.011856%0.0900.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.00-0.00879%0.081-0.003100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.022053%0.0510.00580%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.043100%0.0300.002100%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00967%0.022-0.00367%0.01
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00550%0.0000.002100%0.00
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04325%0.0000.0020%0.00
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.05729%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01868%0.033-0.04650%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02637%-0.0200.004100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.727.215.723.42.627.3120.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +30.6%
TOR +4.2%
TOR +7.2%
TOR +6.8%
TOR +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNTORNBANJNTORNBA
this game15.815.715.294.6127.5101.7
season15.515.5102.1101.8
opponent14.914.7102.1103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN17.416.515.613.815.8
TOR16.914.116.415.615.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elliot Perry2020-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-292914.116.2-2.0714.516.0-1.48
Sherman Douglas1514-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-241917.415.51.9515.415.8-0.41
Johnny Newman4746-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-272515.116.4-1.3215.815.60.29
Jim McIlvaine99-0.13-0.370.240.10-8-211318.115.52.5917.415.51.93
Scott Burrell1313-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-201118.615.33.3116.015.70.35
Michael Cage4847-0.19-0.310.120.10-10-19915.615.9-0.3115.416.0-0.62
Lucious Harris5251-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-231715.416.3-0.8915.715.60.10
Jamie Feick6666-0.19-0.310.120.07-9-201114.818.3-3.4815.416.4-0.96
Kerry Kittles4040-0.31-0.19-0.120.36-23-6-1716.315.40.8915.615.7-0.10
Kendall Gill4040-0.31-0.19-0.120.36-23-6-1716.315.40.8915.615.7-0.10
Keith Van Horn5352-0.38-0.12-0.250.39-26-3-2316.215.21.0715.815.50.33
Stephon Marbury5757-0.38-0.12-0.250.33-24-5-1915.915.50.3716.214.91.31

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter68670.460.040.43-0.332722516.114.61.5216.015.20.84
Antonio Davis49500.400.100.30-0.192091116.414.91.4416.614.81.81
Charles Oakley40410.350.150.21-0.352451915.915.50.4417.214.62.66
Doug Christie42420.350.150.20-0.262181316.814.82.0116.615.11.56
Alvin Williams54530.310.190.12-0.312181315.416.2-0.8615.616.0-0.35
Kevin Willis48490.230.27-0.05-0.211514115.715.7-0.0315.616.0-0.47
Muggsy Bogues45470.190.31-0.120.07425-2116.115.30.7615.316.3-1.06
Tracy McGrady49500.150.35-0.20-0.09821-1314.816.8-2.0115.116.6-1.56
Dell Curry21230.060.44-0.39-0.21920-1113.516.4-2.9015.415.9-0.51
Michael Stewart25240.000.50-0.500.06-231-3315.615.7-0.1413.716.5-2.74
John Thomas14140.000.50-0.500.06-231-3314.515.9-1.4214.616.0-1.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 91, NYK 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,198.3%
NYK 84, PHI 1240.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
DET 75, DAL 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%