NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	81		Excitement	1.7 [1308]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +9.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	1.1 [1162]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -9.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	64%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	7	65%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.00	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.18	-0.00	-0.09	17	39%	-0.05	5	-0.04	7	86%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.20	0.00	0.10	16	79%	0.09	1	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	72%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	11	68%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	10	32%	0.00	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	32.1	15.7	21.2	2.5	26.4	123.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.7%

MEM +0.8%

MEM +6.0%

MEM +7.2%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	MEM	NBA	MIA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.5	88.0	104.3	104.0
season	15.7	16.4		107.9	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.5	15.1	14.4	17.9	15.6
MEM	14.5	14.2	16.9	16.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	5	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	15.4	15.7	-0.26	16.6	15.4	1.16
Wang Zhi-zhi	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-23	30	13.8	16.2	-2.42	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Qyntel Woods	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-13	10	18.1	15.3	2.78	15.9	15.4	0.48
Keyon Dooling	37	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-18	20	15.8	15.5	0.28	16.3	14.9	1.41
Shandon Anderson	26	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-9	2	18.0	14.7	3.29	15.2	15.6	-0.46
Alonzo Mourning	49	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-14	12	15.0	16.3	-1.33	15.7	15.2	0.51
Udonis Haslem	52	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	-3	-10	16.9	14.0	2.86	15.8	15.0	0.81
Damon Jones	55	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	2	-20	15.5	15.8	-0.28	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Michael Doleac	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	3	-22	15.3	16.1	-0.81	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Eddie Jones	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-5	-6	14.8	19.6	-4.82	15.3	16.5	-1.27
Dwyane Wade	74	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	-1	-14	15.7	15.5	0.18	15.6	15.0	0.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	67	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	1	14	15.1	16.4	-1.24	14.8	18.1	-3.26
Mike Miller	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	3	10	15.5	15.5	-0.07	15.7	15.5	0.13
Pau Gasol	75	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	5	6	15.5	15.7	-0.21	15.7	15.4	0.34
Shane Battier	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	5	6	16.2	14.7	1.44	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Jason Williams	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	3	10	14.9	16.1	-1.19	14.9	16.4	-1.50
Earl Watson	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	13	-10	16.1	14.9	1.19	16.4	14.9	1.50
Brian Cardinal	44	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	10	-4	16.1	15.0	1.13	16.9	14.6	2.24
Bonzi Wells	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	13	-10	14.2	16.3	-2.08	14.3	16.5	-2.23
Dahntay Jones	30	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	11	-6	15.9	15.3	0.65	17.6	14.7	2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
NJN 92, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
DET 79, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%