NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	89		Excitement	5.0 [813]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +11.1%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	1.6 [883]		LVP	T.J. Ford (MIL): -16.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Tim Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	14	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	12	41%	-0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
T.J. Ford	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	6	29%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	11	73%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	14	61%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	15	64%	0.04	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.05	0.02	9	62%	0.08	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	15	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	30.3	16.4	24.4	2.4	27.3	127.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.9%

HOU +9.5%

MIL -18.7%

HOU +6.9%

MIL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	HOU	NBA	MIL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	16.4	15.7	100.0	117.0	100.5
season	15.3	16.5		103.6	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.1	13.9	19.0	16.1	16.2
HOU	15.2	16.8	15.3	18.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	35	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-14	14	15.1	16.9	-1.73	17.2	15.8	1.41
Toni Kukoc	27	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-8	2	15.9	16.3	-0.43	17.0	16.1	0.83
Damon Jones	40	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-9	4	14.1	17.9	-3.75	17.8	15.1	2.65
Desmond Mason	45	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-7	0	14.9	17.5	-2.59	17.5	15.2	2.25
Tim Thomas	72	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-8	2	16.5	14.8	1.76	16.0	17.7	-1.72
T.J. Ford	49	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-5	-4	17.9	14.1	3.75	15.1	17.8	-2.65
Joe Smith	60	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-5	-4	16.5	15.5	1.05	16.1	17.0	-0.97
Brian Skinner	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-1	-12	16.6	15.5	1.17	15.9	17.2	-1.28
Michael Redd	61	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	1	-16	16.7	15.0	1.74	16.0	17.3	-1.36

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	43	41	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.07	22	-8	30	14.5	18.1	-3.55	17.6	15.0	2.63
Steve Francis	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-4	22	15.7	19.1	-3.35	16.7	13.9	2.75
Jim Jackson	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	0	14	16.3	16.8	-0.49	16.5	14.4	2.12
Cuttino Mobley	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	0	14	16.6	15.4	1.23	16.1	16.6	-0.56
Clar. Weatherspoon	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	9	-4	16.1	16.5	-0.40	15.6	16.7	-1.09
Maurice Taylor	39	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	12	-10	17.3	15.6	1.72	16.4	16.0	0.46
Adrian Griffin	33	35	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.17	-2	16	-18	15.9	16.6	-0.66	15.6	16.6	-0.93
Yao Ming	52	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	13	-12	17.3	15.0	2.34	15.4	17.2	-1.80
Mark Jackson	17	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	18	-22	19.1	15.7	3.35	13.9	16.7	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	95.1%
CHH 86, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CLE 93, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%