NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	5.7 [672]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +32.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	1.0 [575]		LVP	Brian Cardinal (GSW): -10.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.22	0.08	-0.03	17	91%	0.37	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	82%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.01	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.05	-0.05	10	52%	0.09	2	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	21	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	16	41%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	56%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	25.2	16.5	24.5	2.7	26.4	121.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +29.9%

GSW +16.1%

GSW +5.5%

GSW +1.1%

POR -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.7	114.1	97.8	100.5
season	16.1	17.1		100.8	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.6	17.2	17.0	15.3	16.8
POR	16.6	13.3	14.9	15.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.29	24	-6	30	16.3	17.4	-1.11	16.3	13.1	3.26
Erick Dampier	86	82	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	4	10	17.0	14.0	2.97	14.7	18.9	-4.16
Speedy Claxton	75	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	-2	22	17.2	14.9	2.25	15.1	14.6	0.56
Calbert Cheaney	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	6	6	16.2	17.5	-1.30	15.1	14.9	0.13
Jason Richardson	79	77	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	5	8	16.4	18.8	-2.42	15.2	14.1	1.09
Brian Cardinal	28	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	17	-16	18.2	16.2	2.02	15.1	15.0	0.18
Mike Dunleavy	64	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	11	-4	17.0	16.3	0.65	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Avery Johnson	17	16	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	20	-22	14.9	17.2	-2.25	14.6	15.1	-0.56
Adonal Foyle	1	0	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	18	-18	0.0	17.0	-16.96	0.0	15.0	-15.02
Mickael Pietrus	8	7	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	17	-16	20.5	16.4	4.08	7.9	15.6	-7.78

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	4.7	15.4	-10.72	13.5	16.9	-3.42
Vladimir Stepania	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-12	6	13.3	15.2	-1.88	13.9	17.1	-3.20
Derek Anderson	50	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.26	-13	-5	-8	15.8	14.1	1.73	16.6	17.0	-0.37
Darius Miles	36	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-16	14	13.6	16.0	-2.46	18.8	15.4	3.32
Dale Davis	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-19	20	15.3	14.8	0.49	18.6	15.7	2.97
Qyntel Woods	22	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-11	4	12.7	15.8	-3.11	18.1	16.4	1.78
Ruben Patterson	52	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	-4	-10	16.0	13.7	2.31	15.7	18.3	-2.54
Damon Stoudamire	67	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-7	-4	15.8	12.7	3.11	16.4	18.1	-1.78
Rasheed Wallace	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-4	-10	15.4	14.0	1.46	17.3	15.4	1.93
Zach Randolph	71	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	1	-20	14.8	16.0	-1.23	15.8	21.1	-5.33
Wesley Person	36	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-14	10	14.8	15.2	-0.32	16.9	16.7	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0	94.1%
CHI 107, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0	93.4%
PHI 94, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.01,0	93.4%