NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	7.9 [240]		MVP	Eddie House (LAC): +21.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	7.3 [232]		LVP	Speedy Claxton (GSW): -29.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	73%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.02,0	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	23	58%	0.14	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.10	-0.21	-0.02	15	45%	-0.12	3	-0.18	8	87%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	5	120%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	-0.03	20	56%	0.10	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.03
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	17	51%	0.03	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.05
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	14	41%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	16	39%	-0.11	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	27.2	15.3	24.7	2.5	32.3	129.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +3.5%

LAC +0.8%

LAC +15.0%

LAC +32.3%

GSW -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.7	109.7	116.5	100.5
season	16.1	15.5		100.8	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.3		106.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	16.2	16.3	17.5	16.0
LAC	13.8	18.0	15.0	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	75	73	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.16	10	-14	24	15.6	17.9	-2.29	15.4	14.7	0.66
Calbert Cheaney	20	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	2	-8	15.1	16.3	-1.14	15.6	15.2	0.41
Avery Johnson	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	4	-12	17.0	15.7	1.33	16.7	14.7	1.99
Adonal Foyle	14	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	7	-18	15.7	16.1	-0.39	13.1	15.6	-2.58
Erick Dampier	70	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.52	8	-12	20	16.5	14.7	1.73	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Speedy Claxton	70	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-8	12	15.7	17.0	-1.33	14.7	16.7	-1.99
Mike Dunleavy	81	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	16.2	15.0	1.20	15.1	16.0	-0.86
Jason Richardson	87	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-4	4	16.2	14.3	1.83	15.3	14.7	0.53
Brian Cardinal	25	27	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	12	-28	16.2	16.0	0.16	16.1	14.9	1.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	77	77	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.39	17	-13	30	14.8	18.0	-3.25	16.1	15.7	0.43
Eddie House	38	38	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.32	19	-15	34	14.9	15.5	-0.52	16.3	15.9	0.42
Matt Barnes	45	47	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-1	6	16.1	14.4	1.74	16.9	15.2	1.68
Elton Brand	83	86	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	5	-6	15.3	14.7	0.55	16.0	16.7	-0.73
Corey Maggette	76	80	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.42	-6	10	-16	15.4	14.7	0.62	15.5	19.6	-4.15
Chris Wilcox	16	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	-4	12	15.1	15.3	-0.16	16.7	15.9	0.78
Predrag Drobnjak	23	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	-2	8	13.7	15.8	-2.03	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Doug Overton	30	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.11	7	-3	10	13.6	16.1	-2.47	17.0	15.6	1.41
Chris Kaman	31	30	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.09	-14	18	-32	17.0	14.3	2.65	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Marko Jaric	36	37	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.17	-21	25	-46	16.1	14.7	1.42	15.5	16.4	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.29,0.63,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.45,0.84,0.85,1	91.5%
CLE 83, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.55,0.76,0.96,1	91.1%
MIL 104, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.92,1	90.9%