NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	6.3 [537]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (NOH): +12.7%
New Orleans Hornets	86		Comeback	2.9 [182]		LVP	Stacey Augmon (NOH): -22.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amal McCaskill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.01	18	57%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.06
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	86%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	6	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	23	44%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	24	58%	0.21	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.03	8	68%	0.02	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	10	10%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	17	34%	-0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	10	27%	-0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.0	32.0	15.8	24.2	2.7	39.0	144.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +53.1%

NOH -0.3%

NOH -0.6%

NOH -9.8%

PHI +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOH	NBA	PHI	NOH	NBA
this game	15.4	16.8	15.7	101.1	97.7	100.5
season	16.2	16.0		96.7	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		99.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.4	17.1	13.5	16.7	15.4
NOH	15.7	14.2	20.1	17.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	60	60	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-6	18	15.2	15.8	-0.57	16.6	17.2	-0.65
Allen Iverson	84	81	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-1	8	15.2	17.3	-2.05	17.3	11.6	5.69
Samuel Dalembert	40	37	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	3	0	16.6	14.4	2.19	16.8	16.8	0.01
Glenn Robinson	68	68	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	-2	10	15.2	16.1	-0.93	16.7	17.3	-0.64
Aaron McKie	39	35	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	4	-2	15.1	15.7	-0.60	16.6	16.9	-0.30
Eric Snow	58	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	15.8	14.6	1.24	16.8	16.8	0.07
Amal McCaskill	24	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	5	-4	17.9	14.5	3.37	18.0	16.4	1.59
Derrick Coleman	50	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	14.7	16.3	-1.59	17.0	16.5	0.53
John Salmons	32	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	10	-14	14.0	16.2	-2.15	15.2	17.6	-2.44

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	30	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-8	10	16.5	17.0	-0.52	14.8	15.7	-0.85
P.J. Brown	64	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-3	0	17.2	15.7	1.51	17.0	11.5	5.51
George Lynch	30	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	5	-16	19.7	15.3	4.34	17.6	14.2	3.39
Steven Smith	71	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-5	4	15.9	20.5	-4.61	14.3	20.3	-6.02
Robert Traylor	43	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-2	-2	17.0	16.6	0.33	15.8	15.0	0.89
Darrell Armstrong	78	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-5	4	16.7	17.5	-0.78	15.7	13.7	1.99
Jamaal Magloire	63	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	16.8	16.9	-0.10	14.0	19.2	-5.25
Stacey Augmon	61	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	3	-12	16.2	18.2	-1.99	14.9	16.6	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.04,0,0	94.1%
CLE 105, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.31,0.04,0,0,0	93.1%
UTA 87, CHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.9%