NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	7.1 [384]		MVP	Bobby Phills (CLE): +17.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	4.0 [185]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -29.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.00	13	74%	0.23	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.04
Chris Mills	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	17	66%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	69%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Geary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	21	53%	0.10	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	8	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.01	13	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.03	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	10	36%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	19	38%	-0.07	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	11	45%	-0.08	6	-0.21	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	27.2	15.8	29.2	1.5	30.5	131.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +53.7%

PHI -0.4%

PHI -21.1%

CLE +19.1%

PHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	15.6	109.4	90.8	104.4
season	17.8	14.7		102.1	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.1		108.4	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.8	15.7	12.6	17.3	15.7
PHI	12.4	14.3	15.1	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	85	86	0.86	-0.35	1.21	0.07	27	-11	38	15.4	18.4	-2.96	14.2	12.0	2.24
Tyrone Hill	80	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.03	23	-7	30	14.9	19.7	-4.81	14.0	13.7	0.26
Chris Mills	87	88	0.56	-0.05	0.61	0.06	17	-1	18	15.7	15.8	-0.04	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Terrell Brandon	81	81	0.44	0.07	0.37	0.12	11	5	6	15.2	18.8	-3.63	13.7	15.1	-1.32
Antonio Lang	30	31	0.30	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	8	0	15.6	15.8	-0.25	15.6	13.2	2.40
Danny Ferry	47	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	7	2	15.8	15.7	0.05	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Mark West	22	22	0.03	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	15	-14	14.3	16.2	-1.84	14.5	13.8	0.63
Reggie Geary	0	1	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	14	-12	0.0	15.7	-15.74	1.0	14.1	-13.10
Vitaly Potapenko	22	23	-0.22	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	26	-36	20.3	14.4	5.88	11.8	14.6	-2.80
Bob Sura	26	28	-0.28	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	24	-32	18.6	14.7	3.94	14.2	13.9	0.39

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	44	43	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-18	20	12.9	14.8	-1.92	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Allen Iverson	73	71	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-22	28	13.8	14.6	-0.79	14.9	18.1	-3.22
Michael Cage	12	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-14	12	16.3	13.6	2.69	19.4	15.3	4.09
Jerry Stackhouse	68	66	-0.20	-0.31	0.11	0.06	-9	-7	-2	13.3	15.6	-2.30	15.1	17.1	-2.03
Rex Walters	16	16	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-8	0	17.1	13.4	3.70	19.0	15.1	3.91
Derrick Coleman	90	88	-0.48	-0.03	-0.45	-0.04	-15	-1	-14	13.8	16.2	-2.48	15.2	21.4	-6.15
Clar. Weatherspoon	89	87	-0.53	0.02	-0.55	-0.03	-17	1	-18	13.9	14.2	-0.28	16.1	12.7	3.39
Mark Davis	59	60	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.08	-16	0	-16	14.6	13.0	1.65	15.8	15.6	0.16
Lucious Harris	39	39	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.00	-21	5	-26	14.3	13.7	0.56	17.0	14.9	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.31,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.07,0,0	93.5%
PHI 92, NOH 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.09,0.01,0	93.1%
BOS 103, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.05,0	92.6%