NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	87		Excitement	6.6 [490]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (UTA): +9.8%
Chicago Bulls	79		Comeback	3.8 [613]		LVP	Randy Brown (CHI): -19.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	24	53%	0.03	3	-0.09	11	64%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	35%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Bryon Russell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	8	37%	-0.15	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.08

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	62%	-0.01	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	63%	0.04	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	10	32%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	16	63%	0.04	8	-0.18	9	89%	0.03
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.01	12	47%	-0.04	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.04
Randy Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	12	29%	-0.11	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	30.5	15.7	30.2	2.4	38.5	140.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +6.0%

CHI -8.9%

UTA +7.7%

UTA +37.4%

UTA +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.2	93.5	84.9	101.7
season	16.3	16.5		104.5	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.2		102.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	15.8	15.8	14.3	15.8
CHI	13.7	14.2	17.7	15.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-2	12	15.7	16.5	-0.82	14.7	16.4	-1.68
Bryon Russell	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	2	4	16.1	14.9	1.27	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Karl Malone	75	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-1	10	16.0	15.1	0.90	14.8	16.5	-1.71
Howard Eisley	43	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	3	2	16.9	14.9	1.94	15.5	14.8	0.74
Olden Polynice	30	31	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	-1	10	17.0	15.3	1.71	17.4	14.0	3.39
Greg Ostertag	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	7	-6	15.4	16.6	-1.26	14.0	16.9	-2.96
Jacque Vaughn	18	19	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	8	-8	16.3	15.7	0.54	17.3	14.6	2.75
Jeff Hornacek	53	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	7	-6	15.1	16.8	-1.73	14.5	15.9	-1.36
Quincy Lewis	20	21	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	6	-4	15.4	15.9	-0.50	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Armen Gilliam	24	22	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	11	-14	15.0	16.1	-1.13	16.0	14.9	1.14
Adam Keefe	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	8	-8	3.0	16.0	-12.98	27.0	15.0	12.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	47	48	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-11	14	15.0	15.3	-0.26	16.9	14.7	2.23
Hersey Hawkins	58	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-8	8	16.4	12.9	3.51	16.0	15.5	0.49
Michael Ruffin	11	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	17.6	14.8	2.84	14.7	16.0	-1.26
Randy Brown	73	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-8	8	14.7	16.5	-1.81	15.9	15.4	0.49
Elton Brand	78	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	15.1	15.1	0.07	15.8	16.1	-0.27
Fred Hoiberg	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-2	-4	14.8	16.2	-1.43	15.4	17.4	-2.05
Matt Maloney	24	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	2	-12	14.7	15.3	-0.57	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Chris Carr	51	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	0	-8	14.8	15.5	-0.68	16.2	15.5	0.69
Will Perdue	50	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	1	-10	14.7	15.7	-0.97	15.1	16.6	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
NJN 99, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.02,0	93.0%
PHI 92, NOH 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.09,0.01,0	92.9%