inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 84 Excitement4.8 [840] MVPEtan Thomas (WAS): +7.3%
Washington Wizards 99 Comeback1.2 [1044] LVPRashard Lewis (SEA): -20.6%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio Daniels0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.010.031173%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.01-0.01757%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Luke Ridnour0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome James0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021100%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Richie Frahm-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ray Allen-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.120.01-0.082042%0.014-0.055100%0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00440%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Calvin Booth-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00312%-0.062-0.04250%-0.01
Ronald Murray-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.040.001641%-0.085-0.0900%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.210,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.15-0.06-0.011539%-0.075-0.143100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.01771%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01867%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.02-0.031354%0.102-0.0500%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.02450%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Torraye Braggs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.04743%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.011069%0.045-0.07667%-0.01
Mitchell Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03450%0.023-0.06250%-0.01
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.012447%-0.033-0.071080%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.424.614.824.41.728.0118.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +41.5%
SEA -3.7%
WAS +7.3%
WAS +3.5%
WAS +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAWASNBASEAWASNBA
this game15.214.315.786.6101.0100.5
season15.615.2105.096.4
opponent15.315.7102.4105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA18.012.916.114.015.2
WAS13.315.912.216.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Ridnour760.09-0.590.67-0.003-182113.915.3-1.4417.714.13.54
Jerome James1515-0.05-0.450.41-0.071-161715.515.10.4015.914.11.79
Richie Frahm88-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-12914.215.3-1.0314.014.4-0.38
Vitaly Potapenko3637-0.14-0.360.21-0.08-2-131113.516.2-2.7014.714.10.61
Antonio Daniels5354-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-10513.916.7-2.8414.414.30.13
Ronald Murray5860-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-9314.316.5-2.1614.613.90.78
Calvin Booth3636-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-12-3-917.913.64.2813.115.1-2.04
Ray Allen8585-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-5-515.314.30.9814.513.41.11
Brent Barry4140-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-4-716.214.41.8213.914.7-0.80
Rashard Lewis7981-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.06-11-4-715.215.10.1714.712.52.27
Vladimir Radmanovic6768-0.600.10-0.69-0.04-194-2315.813.91.8813.516.2-2.62

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarvis Hayes82810.56-0.060.610.0318-32114.115.6-1.4515.513.42.11
Kwame Brown76760.51-0.010.53-0.1322-72914.115.0-0.9016.111.84.32
Larry Hughes82820.480.020.460.0116-11714.115.5-1.3815.712.23.54
Jared Jeffries49500.390.110.28-0.051501514.014.7-0.7815.614.70.92
Brevin Knight60620.340.160.180.02114714.014.9-0.9816.013.92.09
Steve Blake44410.140.36-0.210.11114-1315.413.51.9313.216.6-3.42
Juan Dixon36350.060.45-0.390.08-116-1714.514.30.2414.715.5-0.71
Mitchell Butler21190.040.46-0.430.04015-1515.014.20.8313.615.6-1.95
Torraye Braggs220.000.50-0.500.03-116-1712.514.4-1.8910.515.3-4.79
Etan Thomas3837-0.020.52-0.540.16-621-2715.213.81.4113.116.5-3.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 86, SAS 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%
NJN 88, MIN 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.0%
GSW 105, CHI 1190.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%