NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	4.3 [958]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +10.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	2.6 [707]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -12.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	12	56%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	13	67%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	13	54%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.03	0.05	18	47%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	15	63%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	-0.06	12	67%	0.12	3	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	75%	0.05	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	17	39%	-0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	32.2	14.7	29.2	2.5	29.2	133.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.0%

CLE +3.1%

CLE +1.4%

CLE +17.2%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	13.8	15.8	15.7	99.0	109.2	100.5
season	15.5	15.7		98.6	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	14.0	13.0	12.0	13.8
CLE	14.6	15.4	15.3	17.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-14	17	14.9	13.0	1.90	17.5	14.7	2.75
Othella Harrington	29	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-11	11	13.0	14.1	-1.07	18.9	14.6	4.28
Shandon Anderson	62	64	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-12	13	13.7	13.8	-0.03	16.4	14.6	1.77
Keith Van Horn	57	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-9	7	13.3	14.4	-1.06	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Dikembe Mutombo	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	0	-11	15.2	12.7	2.58	14.7	16.6	-1.82
Allan Houston	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	13.3	14.7	-1.39	14.8	18.1	-3.36
Kurt Thomas	83	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	0	-11	14.3	10.4	3.97	15.8	15.8	-0.06
Stephon Marbury	61	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	3	-17	13.0	14.9	-1.90	14.7	17.5	-2.75
Anfernee Hardaway	48	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	3	-17	13.1	14.4	-1.37	16.6	15.0	1.63

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-3	17	15.7	16.1	-0.42	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Kedrick Brown	63	62	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.04	19	-8	27	14.2	18.7	-4.53	13.1	14.8	-1.68
LeBron James	86	85	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	1	9	15.3	18.9	-3.58	13.6	14.8	-1.23
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	3	5	16.3	15.0	1.27	14.5	12.6	1.88
Carlos Boozer	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	10	-9	15.2	16.5	-1.28	14.6	12.7	1.90
Tony Battie	51	50	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	6	-1	16.1	15.4	0.71	13.5	14.0	-0.56
DeSagana Diop	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	5	1	16.4	15.5	0.81	12.8	14.1	-1.35
Kevin Ollie	35	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	13	-15	17.2	15.0	2.17	14.1	13.6	0.56
Darius Miles	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	17.0	15.4	1.52	13.3	13.9	-0.54
Dajuan Wagner	15	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	16	-21	18.3	15.3	2.94	13.9	13.7	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAC 94, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%