NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	4.0 [1037]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +16.0%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	2.4 [786]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -12.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	13	77%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	62%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Obinna Ekezie	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jason Collier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	19	33%	-0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05	4	-0.08	10	70%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	12	90%	0.23	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	15	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	78%	0.05	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	13	59%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	8	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.7	27.0	15.8	26.5	2.3	27.6	125.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.4%

DET +11.6%

ATL -1.0%

DET +8.1%

ATL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	17.7	15.2	15.5	96.6	112.5	104.0
season	15.6	16.7		98.1	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.1		98.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.7	16.9	20.1	15.6	17.7
DET	16.5	11.9	16.7	16.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donta Smith	13	15	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.14	8	-23	31	16.5	18.0	-1.50	14.0	15.4	-1.44
Predrag Drobnjak	42	43	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-22	29	16.3	19.1	-2.85	15.4	15.0	0.49
Boris Diaw	32	34	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-19	23	15.1	19.3	-4.23	15.6	14.9	0.69
Royal Ivey	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	16.8	17.8	-0.97	19.0	14.9	4.14
Obinna Ekezie	22	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-15	15	21.7	16.4	5.34	16.8	14.6	2.21
Tony Delk	44	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-8	1	16.1	19.4	-3.33	14.5	15.9	-1.36
Jason Collier	15	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-8	1	16.0	18.1	-2.10	13.4	15.5	-2.18
Josh Childress	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	0	-15	17.6	18.0	-0.35	15.7	13.7	1.95
Antoine Walker	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	7	-29	18.1	16.1	1.94	15.1	15.5	-0.37
Tyronn Lue	56	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.15	-24	9	-33	19.5	14.5	5.00	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Al Harrington	68	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.07	-23	8	-31	18.6	14.5	4.17	14.7	16.5	-1.80

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	58	58	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.15	25	-10	35	15.3	14.9	0.39	18.7	15.8	2.91
Ben Wallace	57	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-2	19	15.1	15.5	-0.40	18.4	16.4	1.93
Rasheed Wallace	59	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.13	21	-6	27	15.2	15.2	-0.02	19.0	15.2	3.84
Richard Hamilton	68	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	0	15	15.1	15.6	-0.59	17.7	17.7	0.04
Chauncey Billups	68	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	2	11	15.8	13.2	2.58	18.6	14.9	3.62
Lindsey Hunter	35	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	14	-13	14.5	15.7	-1.17	16.5	18.5	-2.02
Darvin Ham	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	19.0	14.9	4.14	16.8	17.8	-0.97
Darko Milicic	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	19.0	14.9	4.14	16.8	17.8	-0.97
Antonio McDyess	50	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	15	-15	14.4	16.3	-1.93	15.5	20.5	-4.99
Ronald Dupree	31	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.21	-9	24	-33	14.6	15.5	-0.85	15.6	18.9	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1	96.2%
CHA 84, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 80, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%