NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Excitement	4.2 [963]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): +7.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	112		Comeback	1.6 [940]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -12.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	13	65%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	21	49%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	12	21%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	12	54%	-0.03	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	17	67%	0.13	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.03
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.03	18	61%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Flip Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	57%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.06	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	29.1	15.5	25.3	1.8	26.2	124.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.8%

MIL +6.3%

CLE -2.7%

MIL +12.3%

MIL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.5	87.0	124.4	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		94.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	14.9		106.5	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	16.3	15.3	18.9	16.1
MIL	13.7	15.6	15.3	18.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-29	26	15.0	16.2	-1.20	21.5	15.2	6.27
Smush Parker	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.34	-12	-20	8	18.8	15.4	3.47	18.1	14.8	3.22
DeSagana Diop	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.42	-17	-15	-2	17.4	15.4	2.03	17.0	14.6	2.44
Bimbo Coles	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-23	14	15.6	16.4	-0.79	16.0	15.3	0.71
Carlos Boozer	41	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.48	-22	-10	-12	17.1	15.4	1.74	16.9	14.4	2.49
Dajuan Wagner	53	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.41	-21	-11	-10	16.5	15.6	0.98	14.9	16.4	-1.56
Jumaine Jones	56	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.25	-18	-14	-4	16.8	15.1	1.63	16.3	14.4	1.97
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-22	12	15.1	17.4	-2.33	14.4	16.9	-2.50
Milt Palacio	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-21	10	15.2	16.9	-1.69	14.1	16.8	-2.76
Tyrone Hill	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-17	2	15.6	17.0	-1.40	14.6	17.1	-2.45
Ricky Davis	70	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	-10	-12	15.4	18.5	-3.11	15.0	17.1	-2.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	14	4	15.1	16.7	-1.62	15.7	17.1	-1.34
Tim Thomas	56	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	11	10	15.4	15.7	-0.27	16.4	15.7	0.72
Michael Redd	67	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	6	20	15.4	15.7	-0.31	16.3	15.7	0.64
Ervin Johnson	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.38	25	7	18	15.6	15.4	0.13	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Toni Kukoc	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.42	25	7	18	15.1	16.0	-0.86	16.5	15.7	0.76
Jason Caffey	50	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	22	-12	15.7	15.3	0.34	15.4	17.0	-1.58
Kevin Ollie	48	50	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.49	20	12	8	16.2	14.7	1.54	16.4	15.8	0.63
Dan Gadzuric	23	24	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	33	-34	14.4	15.9	-1.45	15.9	16.2	-0.35
Joel Przybilla	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.17	8	24	-16	17.1	15.2	1.85	18.2	15.7	2.47
Marcus Haislip	14	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	29	-26	15.9	15.4	0.49	16.5	16.1	0.39
Flip Murray	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	27	-22	16.8	15.4	1.41	16.0	16.1	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 111, PHX 126	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAC 86, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHA 84, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%