NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	3.5 [1086]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +14.9%
Phoenix Suns	126		Comeback	1.8 [1130]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -5.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.05	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	21	55%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	52%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	53%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	8	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	13	74%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	18	74%	0.15	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	80%	0.11	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	7	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	10	62%	0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	28.3	15.5	26.4	2.6	30.7	129.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +60.8%

MEM -6.5%

MEM -10.6%

PHX +9.9%

MEM -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	15.3	116.8	131.2	106.0
season	15.4	14.4		106.8	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.2	17.8	17.1	15.5	16.4
PHX	12.5	14.1	12.9	15.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	29	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-19	23	15.1	17.0	-1.85	14.7	13.3	1.38
Hasheem Thabeet	28	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-20	25	13.5	17.6	-4.10	12.8	14.2	-1.39
Marcus Williams	19	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-21	27	12.3	17.4	-5.16	14.4	13.6	0.83
O.J. Mayo	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-8	1	16.9	15.8	1.16	14.3	13.2	1.11
Jamaal Tinsley	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-17	19	14.9	17.6	-2.66	14.2	13.5	0.69
Mike Conley	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	-2	-11	17.9	14.6	3.35	13.5	14.1	-0.54
Marc Gasol	60	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	4	-23	17.6	14.4	3.20	13.2	14.6	-1.41
Zach Randolph	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	3	-21	17.6	14.1	3.52	14.2	13.1	1.10
Sam Young	58	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-1	-13	16.0	17.1	-1.09	13.4	14.4	-1.02
Rudy Gay	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	6	-27	16.8	14.8	2.00	13.6	14.3	-0.72

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.25	26	-11	37	12.6	15.6	-2.98	17.3	14.8	2.51
Channing Frye	63	62	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.25	24	-9	33	12.9	15.4	-2.50	17.3	14.7	2.64
Jason Richardson	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	0	15	12.6	15.3	-2.68	16.8	15.8	0.97
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.23	21	-6	27	13.3	15.0	-1.75	17.4	13.2	4.24
Grant Hill	47	46	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	1	13	12.7	14.8	-2.07	17.4	15.4	2.03
Jared Dudley	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	14	-13	14.5	12.9	1.57	15.5	17.4	-1.86
Leandro Barbosa	46	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	7	1	15.0	12.6	2.38	17.4	15.5	1.92
Lou Amundson	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.27	-7	22	-29	16.2	12.6	3.52	13.6	17.7	-4.08
Alando Tucker	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	15.6	13.6	1.93	7.7	17.0	-9.31
Earl Clark	14	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	25	-35	15.2	13.5	1.68	10.8	17.2	-6.36
Goran Dragic	38	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	26	-37	15.6	12.6	2.98	14.8	17.3	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 89, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CLE 80, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIN 77, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%