inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 78 Excitement4.7 [880] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +10.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 83 Comeback1.1 [1120] LVPChauncey Billups (DET): -19.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.011357%0.0500.00475%-0.00
Mehmet Okur0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.011055%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Bob Sura-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.021053%-0.0200.001050%-0.01
Chucky Atkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.01-0.041436%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.011040%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.01825%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.00-0.00233%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.190,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19-0.18-0.03-0.021425%-0.094-0.1000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.10.100.060.04-0.001753%0.1000.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.02958%0.0600.00887%0.03
Tim Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00764%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,00.00-0.030.02-0.021650%0.042-0.04450%-0.03
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Daniel Santiago0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01840%-0.031-0.02450%-0.02
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.04830%-0.041-0.01475%0.00
T.J. Ford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.00-0.04839%-0.004-0.07250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.329.70.823.52.530.6112.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +32.3%
MIL +3.0%
DET -1.5%
MIL +15.9%
MIL +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game17.916.415.792.998.8100.5
season16.215.399.2103.6
opponent15.516.0103.392.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET21.417.517.315.617.9
MIL15.414.519.616.416.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tremaine Fowlkes17190.08-0.580.66-0.106-111718.617.70.9815.816.6-0.74
Bob Sura1922-0.03-0.470.44-0.216-111717.917.90.0316.816.30.48
Elden Campbell1616-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-1-317.917.90.0114.916.8-1.90
Zeljko Rebraca1819-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-5517.817.9-0.1216.216.5-0.27
Mehmet Okur4345-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-4318.816.91.9817.015.81.16
Chucky Atkins4444-0.20-0.300.10-0.262-7916.919.0-2.1115.317.6-2.31
Chauncey Billups5150-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.18-83-1118.217.40.7816.516.30.16
Richard Hamilton6967-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.28-72-917.618.9-1.3016.715.11.63
Tayshaun Prince6967-0.510.01-0.52-0.30-72-917.519.7-2.1916.815.01.78
Ben Wallace7471-0.580.08-0.67-0.23-127-1918.116.12.0116.515.90.58

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
T.J. Ford66670.480.010.470.287-2917.014.42.5817.320.0-2.67
Tim Thomas45460.450.050.40-0.0818-133115.217.8-2.6219.316.23.08
Daniel Santiago50480.350.150.200.0012-71916.815.81.0518.616.81.81
Joe Smith57580.290.210.070.2614-317.314.52.8017.917.70.26
Toni Kukoc42410.240.26-0.030.35-49-1315.417.4-1.9816.619.1-2.46
Michael Redd65640.220.28-0.060.31-38-1117.114.03.1217.219.8-2.60
Desmond Mason49480.210.29-0.090.44-813-2117.015.61.3517.518.3-0.81
Damon Jones27270.140.36-0.220.1114-314.417.4-3.0218.917.41.56
Dan Gadzuric19210.130.37-0.250.1014-314.816.9-2.1018.317.70.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 98, NJN 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
TOR 86, SAC 950.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,195.5%
MIA 91, MIN 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.94,1,195.5%