NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	7.5 [298]		MVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): +28.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	2.9 [646]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -33.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	17	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.06	0.03	13	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jahidi White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	60%	0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.06	0.05	13	61%	0.03	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.32,-0.33	-0.15	-0.19	-0.00	11	37%	-0.16	3	-0.17	8	62%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.08	0.21	0.00	5	100%	0.34	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	4	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	10	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	14	50%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	13	56%	0.06	4	-0.19	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	23	52%	0.08	5	-0.21	10	90%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.8	27.2	18.6	25.3	2.7	38.7	139.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.8%

POR +2.0%

POR +26.9%

PHX -18.7%

POR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	15.7	104.4	112.2	100.5
season	14.6	17.1		99.6	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.9		103.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	15.1	16.1	16.1	15.5
POR	17.5	15.5	18.1	15.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	41	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-16	25	15.0	15.8	-0.79	18.2	15.0	3.23
Stephon Marbury	73	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-10	13	14.7	18.9	-4.20	16.5	16.4	0.10
Casey Jacobsen	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	0	-7	14.8	15.7	-0.87	11.6	17.9	-6.33
Jahidi White	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-2	-3	17.2	14.4	2.78	16.9	16.3	0.56
Leandro Barbosa	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	16.7	15.0	1.76	16.0	16.7	-0.73
Joe Johnson	75	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	15.3	16.3	-0.95	16.5	16.7	-0.25
Jake Voskuhl	62	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	14.4	18.0	-3.61	16.9	15.5	1.38
Shawn Marion	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	1	-9	15.5	14.8	0.69	16.5	16.6	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	34	32	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	8	-23	17.7	14.1	3.58	16.7	16.4	0.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	85	84	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-5	17	16.4	17.8	-1.35	15.3	17.7	-2.35
Jeff McInnis	73	71	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-5	17	16.5	16.8	-0.30	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Ruben Patterson	48	49	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-3	13	14.7	18.5	-3.80	16.4	14.3	2.09
Zach Randolph	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	16.9	15.0	1.85	15.0	17.7	-2.69
Wesley Person	40	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.25	2	5	-3	15.2	17.6	-2.38	15.9	15.1	0.78
Damon Stoudamire	67	68	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	5	-3	17.4	14.0	3.33	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Dale Davis	54	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	9	-11	17.9	14.5	3.42	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	9	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	12	-17	15.8	16.6	-0.83	16.6	15.3	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.6,0.69,0.54,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.92,1	91.3%
MEM 93, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.89,0.84,0.84,1	90.9%
HOU 96, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.9,1	90.8%