NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	8.9 [109]		MVP	Rod Strickland (ORL): +23.9%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	3.2 [277]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -32.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24	0.00	0.25	0.02	9	65%	0.33	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Keith Bogans	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	6	100%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	17	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	5	8%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.14,-0.14	0.00	-0.14	0.01	12	63%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.26
Tracy McGrady	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.33,-0.33	-0.06	-0.27	-0.00	19	51%	0.01	5	-0.33	3	33%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.01	8	65%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	20	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.09	0.01	18	46%	0.08	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	6	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	7	41%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	10	15%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.19	-0.00	15	36%	-0.24	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	28.3	16.8	22.3	2.4	36.0	133.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +104.0%

IND -38.5%

ORL +25.8%

IND -42.3%

ORL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	17.7	15.7	108.0	104.7	100.5
season	15.7	16.7		100.9	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		94.7	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.2	13.3	17.9	15.6	15.7
IND	18.9	18.8	17.3	15.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	70	67	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-8	20	14.9	18.9	-4.01	17.6	17.8	-0.18
Drew Gooden	61	59	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-3	10	16.4	14.0	2.36	16.9	19.3	-2.40
Keith Bogans	56	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	15.4	16.0	-0.59	16.7	19.3	-2.61
Juwan Howard	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	3	-2	15.3	16.9	-1.65	17.8	17.1	0.72
Tracy McGrady	81	80	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	4	-4	15.9	12.8	3.03	17.5	19.0	-1.45
Gordan Giricek	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	0	4	15.5	15.8	-0.25	19.3	16.4	2.84
Zaza Pachulia	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	3	-2	14.6	15.8	-1.19	16.3	17.8	-1.53
Andrew DeClercq	37	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	5	-6	15.5	15.8	-0.29	18.9	16.7	2.23
Shammond Williams	17	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	18.9	14.9	4.01	17.8	17.6	0.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	26	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-3	2	17.0	17.9	-0.93	15.0	16.0	-1.05
Fred Jones	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-9	14	16.6	18.3	-1.73	18.6	14.0	4.65
Jeff Foster	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-5	6	18.2	17.4	0.84	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Anthony Johnson	50	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-8	12	16.4	19.4	-3.08	15.9	15.4	0.50
Kenny Anderson	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	4	-12	19.4	16.4	3.08	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Metta World Peace	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-4	4	17.7	17.1	0.61	15.4	16.7	-1.34
Reggie Miller	50	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	4	-12	18.5	16.4	2.08	14.0	18.3	-4.33
Jermaine O'Neal	75	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	3	-10	17.9	15.9	2.00	15.8	14.7	1.15
Al Harrington	60	59	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.52	-6	2	-8	17.1	19.0	-1.88	16.3	14.2	2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.46,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.55,0.69,0	91.6%
SAS 86, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.68,0.84,0	91.2%
MIL 78, TOR 75	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.55,0.75,0.58,0	90.7%