NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	8.6 [137]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +30.3%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	8.3 [91]		LVP	Jake Voskuhl (PHX): -30.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3	-0.04	0.35	-0.00	13	41%	0.33	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04	-0.10	0.07	0.01	16	43%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.05
Ron Mercer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	10	43%	-0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	24	47%	-0.12	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.08

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.08	0.01	6	142%	0.30	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.02	16	64%	0.19	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	16	40%	0.06	3	-0.26	8	75%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.21	-0.00	7	50%	-0.04	5	-0.27	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	29.4	17.6	29.1	3.7	38.3	147.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -24.7%

SAS +9.2%

SAS +3.0%

SAS +58.2%

SAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	18.9	13.9	15.7	97.7	95.5	100.5
season	15.9	14.6		100.1	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.8		103.6	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.2	16.5	22.1	20.3	18.9
PHX	14.1	12.9	15.0	13.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	64	63	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.54	5	-3	8	18.7	19.2	-0.49	14.4	12.4	2.00
Manu Ginobili	51	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-7	16	16.3	22.4	-6.18	14.0	13.7	0.36
Tony Parker	63	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	4	-6	19.4	17.6	1.81	14.5	12.6	1.90
Tim Duncan	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	6	-10	19.7	15.2	4.40	14.2	12.2	1.99
Bruce Bowen	70	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	6	-10	20.0	14.2	5.82	13.8	14.1	-0.29
Robert Horry	30	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-3	8	17.2	19.7	-2.56	13.1	14.3	-1.15
Rasho Nesterovic	53	54	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	3	-4	18.6	19.3	-0.72	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Charlie Ward	25	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-2	6	17.6	19.4	-1.81	12.6	14.5	-1.90
Ron Mercer	12	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	4	-6	24.3	18.0	6.35	11.4	14.2	-2.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zarko Cabarkapa	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	3	-8	11.6	14.4	-2.76	12.7	20.3	-7.62
Tom Gugliotta	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	1	-4	18.2	13.4	4.81	17.4	19.0	-1.63
Maciej Lampe	6	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	5	-12	15.2	13.8	1.39	9.8	19.4	-9.60
Jahidi White	23	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	5	-12	12.1	14.5	-2.42	19.2	18.7	0.44
Leandro Barbosa	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-1	0	14.4	13.3	1.10	19.8	17.7	2.11
Shawn Marion	78	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.52	8	-10	18	13.6	16.3	-2.74	19.5	13.0	6.52
Howard Eisley	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-2	2	13.0	14.8	-1.84	18.8	18.9	-0.11
Jake Voskuhl	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-7	12	14.5	12.1	2.42	18.7	19.2	-0.44
Casey Jacobsen	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-5	8	14.4	11.6	2.76	20.3	12.7	7.62
Joe Johnson	79	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	1	-4	13.8	14.1	-0.26	18.4	23.7	-5.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.68,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.46,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.74,0	91.2%
CLE 79, MIL 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.84,0	90.5%
CHH 73, HOU 72	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.83,0	90.1%