NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Excitement	8.4 [180]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): +31.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	78		Comeback	9.9 [117]		LVP	Vin Baker (MIL): -32.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.31	-0.06	0.37	-0.00	21	50%	0.41	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.15	0.00	7	57%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	3	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.07
Mark West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	3	20%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	8	59%	-0.09	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.16
Chris Mills	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	14	44%	-0.14	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	3	100%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David Wood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.05
Andrew Lang	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,0.08,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.15	0.01	12	55%	0.05	5	-0.29	5	60%	-0.19
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.23	-0.00	11	43%	-0.25	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	26.9	15.7	28.6	2.6	43.1	142.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.1%

MIL -1.6%

CLE +16.3%

CLE +16.4%

MIL -18.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	19.1	16.5	15.6	97.5	96.3	104.4
season	17.8	16.0		102.1	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		106.0	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.2	20.2	16.7	23.0	19.1
MIL	16.3	19.8	15.2	14.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	44	44	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.80	3	-2	5	18.6	19.6	-1.01	16.2	16.8	-0.65
Chris Mills	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	-1	3	19.4	15.4	4.02	16.6	15.4	1.13
Bobby Phills	36	35	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	1	-1	19.5	18.8	0.67	16.4	16.5	-0.05
Terrell Brandon	67	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	3	-5	18.9	20.3	-1.43	16.3	17.3	-1.03
Vitaly Potapenko	28	29	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	-5	11	16.6	20.4	-3.75	18.3	15.4	2.89
Mark West	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	2	-3	18.3	19.6	-1.27	17.0	16.2	0.85
Tyrone Hill	63	62	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	3	-5	19.8	16.6	3.27	16.2	17.4	-1.19
Donny Marshall	23	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	-1	3	18.2	19.5	-1.29	16.6	16.4	0.25
Danny Ferry	40	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	4	-7	20.7	17.5	3.26	15.5	17.4	-1.91

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	56	56	0.71	-1.21	1.91	0.24	16	-17	33	15.9	17.8	-1.88	18.9	19.5	-0.55
Armen Gilliam	36	35	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.12	4	-5	9	16.5	16.4	0.03	20.4	18.1	2.34
Shawn Respert	16	15	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-4	7	17.9	16.1	1.77	21.5	18.6	2.91
Chucky Brown	3	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-1	1	18.7	16.4	2.29	20.7	19.0	1.74
Andrew Lang	44	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	2	-5	16.7	16.1	0.64	18.5	19.9	-1.37
Vin Baker	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	0	-1	16.4	18.7	-2.29	19.0	20.7	-1.74
Glenn Robinson	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	4	-9	16.4	16.8	-0.42	19.6	17.1	2.46
Elliot Perry	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.51	-4	3	-7	16.1	17.9	-1.77	18.6	21.5	-2.91
David Wood	6	6	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.54	-3	2	-5	18.5	16.3	2.21	14.7	19.5	-4.79
Ray Allen	35	36	-1.14	0.64	-1.77	-0.78	-12	11	-23	16.8	16.2	0.60	18.7	19.4	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 78, TOR 75	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.55,0.75,0.58,0	90.7%
LAC 98, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.57,0.58,0	90.6%
PHI 114, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.91,0	90.6%