inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 78 Excitement7.9 [253] MVPErvin Johnson (MIL): +10.1%
Toronto Raptors 75 Comeback6.1 [144] LVPVince Carter (TOR): -29.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ervin Johnson0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.04-0.014100%0.121-0.0100%0.00
Michael Redd0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.003100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tim Thomas0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.02-0.01950%0.091-0.0600%0.00
Glenn Robinson-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.001558%0.073-0.093100%0.01
Jason Caffey-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Sam Cassell-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.31,-0.39,-0.39,-0.15-0.140.000.012038%0.004-0.152100%0.04
Anthony Mason-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.09-0.01744%-0.023-0.15250%-0.01
Ray Allen-0.250,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.08,-0.25-0.08-0.180.001150%-0.004-0.254100%0.06

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Childs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.000.00683%0.142-0.1000%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,00.000.01-0.000.00850%0.0000.00250%-0.03
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01862%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.001231%-0.081-0.022100%0.03
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.060.0020%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.030.00520%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.040.00911%-0.151-0.0200%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22-0.22-0.16-0.08-0.021519%-0.211-0.0110%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.08,-0.29-0.290.06-0.340.012354%-0.191-0.112100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.22.428.416.722.02.531.4123.6
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +71.3%
MIL +13.5%
MIL +0.8%
TOR -33.2%
TOR -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game16.016.615.688.684.3102.3
season15.316.2104.7100.3
opponent15.616.0100.9105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.215.615.918.616.0
TOR14.120.417.715.016.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen66680.71-0.210.920.488-51315.816.6-0.8216.217.8-1.57
Sam Cassell65650.59-0.090.690.455-2716.016.0-0.0315.619.1-3.51
Ervin Johnson59610.450.050.400.305-2715.716.6-0.9115.818.2-2.41
Anthony Mason75760.440.060.380.3821115.717.4-1.6515.920.6-4.75
Glenn Robinson78790.360.140.220.39-14-515.717.8-2.0615.723.7-8.04
Michael Redd890.120.38-0.25-0.025-2715.216.0-0.8021.216.05.18
Tim Thomas40360.100.40-0.290.19-36-917.414.82.5619.014.94.14
Rafer Alston2324-0.090.59-0.69-0.04-25-716.016.00.0319.115.63.51
Jason Caffey2627-0.190.69-0.88-0.07-47-1116.715.70.9619.015.53.45

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Williams40410.05-0.550.61-0.095-81318.215.23.0715.716.2-0.46
Dell Curry13130.01-0.510.51-0.145-81318.416.22.1320.315.25.08
Tracy Murray99-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-30-321.216.05.1815.616.0-0.47
Hakeem Olajuwon3130-0.23-0.270.03-0.00-85-1315.916.9-1.0115.016.5-1.53
Alvin Williams5858-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-74-1116.516.6-0.1314.818.3-3.47
Keon Clark3230-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.25-1-2116.216.8-0.5417.715.12.66
Morris Peterson5555-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.31-30-315.418.5-3.0915.117.5-2.41
Antonio Davis7978-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.400-3316.021.3-5.3415.916.6-0.70
Chris Childs5150-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.39-1-2117.615.22.4017.414.13.39
Vince Carter7776-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.42-2-1-116.119.8-3.7815.817.1-1.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.55,0.75,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 107, ORL 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.69,0.42,091.4%
MIA 90, TOR 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.55,0.69,091.1%
HOU 98, GSW 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.59,091.0%