NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	8.5 [146]		MVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): +34.0%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	2.0 [600]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -28.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.34	0.01	0.33	-0.00	3	60%	0.34	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.1,0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	17	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Matt Bullard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	16	59%	0.08	4	-0.12	5	40%	-0.05
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	6	67%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	14	47%	0.03	6	-0.26	6	100%	0.08

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Porter	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	19	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	10	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	15	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	17	39%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.33,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	28	38%	-0.18	2	-0.11	5	60%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	29.3	15.8	26.0	2.5	34.8	133.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +83.2%

HOU +9.2%

GSW -10.7%

GSW -28.6%

GSW -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.5	103.2	97.9	100.9
season	16.3	15.0		104.6	95.3
opponent	14.9	14.9		104.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	14.4	13.9	19.3	15.6
GSW	14.9	15.6	14.3	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	91	92	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-4	11	15.3	22.7	-7.49	14.3	16.0	-1.65
Moochie Norris	35	37	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-5	13	16.7	14.9	1.84	14.7	14.3	0.39
Cuttino Mobley	77	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	0	3	15.8	14.5	1.33	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Kenny Thomas	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.32	3	0	3	16.4	14.1	2.23	13.7	15.8	-2.14
Maurice Taylor	72	73	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.42	-7	10	-17	15.8	14.9	0.94	13.9	16.0	-2.03
Matt Bullard	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	-3	9	15.6	15.6	-0.01	15.7	13.9	1.79
Shandon Anderson	44	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	0	3	14.2	16.7	-2.52	15.0	13.9	1.06
Hakeem Olajuwon	34	35	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	3	-3	14.1	16.4	-2.23	15.8	13.7	2.14
Walt Williams	33	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	11	-19	15.9	15.4	0.55	14.4	14.4	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	18	16	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-7	11	14.9	14.3	0.56	16.4	15.4	0.96
Vinny Del Negro	23	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.36	10	-13	23	12.8	14.9	-2.11	19.3	14.5	4.87
Chris Porter	74	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.37	6	-9	15	14.6	13.9	0.68	16.1	13.8	2.35
Mookie Blaylock	67	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	0	-3	14.6	14.1	0.43	14.9	17.2	-2.29
Larry Hughes	72	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	5	-13	15.0	12.9	2.09	14.5	18.7	-4.19
Marc Jackson	89	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	14.2	16.6	-2.39	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Antawn Jamison	87	86	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.36	-10	7	-17	14.5	13.5	1.04	15.5	16.8	-1.32
Vonteego Cummings	55	53	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	11	-25	14.0	15.0	-0.96	15.6	15.6	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.55,0.69,0	91.8%
CLE 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0	91.1%
MIL 78, TOR 75	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.55,0.75,0.58,0	91.0%