NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	75		Excitement	5.1 [780]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +2.5%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	2.8 [685]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -11.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	18	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Reggie Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	9	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	18	57%	0.06	7	-0.17	4	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	11	62%	0.10	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.01
Chris Jefferies	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	5	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	17	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	17	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.7	25.2	15.6	30.0	1.8	27.4	124.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +18.0%

CHI +8.5%

CHI +18.5%

CHI +8.1%

IND -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	17.1	15.7	89.3	97.7	100.5
season	16.7	15.2		101.1	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.3	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	16.4	17.0	16.9	16.4
CHI	17.5	17.9	15.0	18.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	38	41	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.33	18	-29	47	15.2	17.3	-2.07	17.1	17.1	0.04
Primoz Brezec	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	8.3	16.7	-8.33	20.5	16.9	3.56
Jamison Brewer	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	8.3	16.7	-8.33	20.5	16.9	3.56
Austin Croshere	33	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-18	25	16.3	16.4	-0.06	16.7	17.4	-0.64
Al Harrington	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-11	11	17.4	15.7	1.62	18.6	16.2	2.45
Anthony Johnson	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-4	-3	17.2	15.4	1.84	16.2	18.1	-1.94
Kenny Anderson	36	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	16.0	16.7	-0.69	17.8	16.5	1.34
Reggie Miller	54	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	7	-25	16.4	16.3	0.11	16.5	18.2	-1.63
Jeff Foster	44	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	4	-19	16.3	16.4	-0.11	17.3	16.9	0.42
Metta World Peace	70	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	9	-29	16.8	14.1	2.76	16.6	19.5	-2.93
Jermaine O'Neal	62	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.05	-21	10	-31	16.4	16.2	0.25	17.2	16.8	0.48

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	74	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.09	17	-6	23	17.0	17.5	-0.47	16.9	13.7	3.17
Kirk Hinrich	66	64	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-7	25	17.1	17.1	0.02	16.7	15.3	1.40
Marcus Fizer	67	65	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-3	17	16.8	18.0	-1.24	16.8	14.7	2.11
Antonio Davis	62	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.11	22	-11	33	17.0	17.2	-0.18	16.9	15.2	1.66
Jerome Williams	80	76	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	3	5	17.4	14.4	3.00	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Linton Johnson	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	15	-19	15.6	17.9	-2.23	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Chris Jefferies	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	16.7	17.1	-0.45	6.5	16.6	-10.11
Eddy Curry	21	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	14	-17	18.0	16.8	1.24	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Kendall Gill	37	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	23	-35	18.0	16.5	1.50	15.0	17.3	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.61,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CLE 91, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
NOP 81, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%