NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	5.2 [794]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): +15.3%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	2.5 [790]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (CLE): -12.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Bennett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Tyler Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	10	35%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	0.02	-0.03	0.07	15	55%	0.01	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	16	39%	-0.05	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	9	45%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	12	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	18	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	13	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	28.8	15.6	29.3	2.4	33.3	136.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.0%

TOR +0.5%

TOR +1.4%

TOR +20.5%

CLE -9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.1	98.9	106.5	105.2
season	15.2	15.9		102.8	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.3		104.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	16.2	16.0	12.1	15.0
TOR	17.8	16.5	14.0	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	25	27	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-10	13	15.4	14.8	0.55	16.7	16.2	0.45
Alonzo Gee	16	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-10	13	16.1	14.7	1.34	17.2	16.1	1.09
Anthony Bennett	27	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-6	5	16.5	14.3	2.16	16.2	16.4	-0.17
Spencer Hawes	54	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-12	17	14.0	16.3	-2.23	15.3	17.7	-2.38
Tyler Zeller	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	2	-11	16.4	14.1	2.31	18.0	15.3	2.67
Kyrie Irving	81	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	0	-7	14.6	17.6	-3.04	16.1	18.0	-1.90
Tristan Thompson	67	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.3	16.6	-2.31	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Luol Deng	76	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	3	-13	14.7	16.1	-1.34	16.1	17.2	-1.09
Jarrett Jack	78	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	4	-15	15.2	13.6	1.63	16.5	15.6	0.89

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	54	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	17.4	14.9	2.52	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Terrence Ross	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	1	5	16.0	17.5	-1.47	14.6	16.4	-1.84
DeMar DeRozan	70	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	5	-3	17.4	13.0	4.40	15.4	13.3	2.12
Kyle Lowry	69	70	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	5	-3	16.0	17.4	-1.45	14.5	16.5	-1.97
Greivis Vasquez	29	28	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	-1	9	16.1	16.5	-0.41	15.5	14.7	0.73
Amir Johnson	46	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	6	-5	16.2	16.5	-0.22	15.1	14.8	0.27
John Salmons	39	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	3	1	14.7	17.5	-2.83	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Patrick Patterson	40	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.15	1	6	-5	16.7	16.1	0.67	14.1	15.5	-1.46
Steve Novak	9	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	4	-1	15.4	16.4	-1.00	18.8	14.5	4.31
Tyler Hansbrough	32	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	9	-11	16.0	16.5	-0.58	16.0	14.4	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
BOS 79, TOR 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,1	94.8%
SAC 94, MIN 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%