NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	8.4 [170]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +30.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	9.2 [66]		LVP	T.J. Ford (MIL): -33.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.26,0.3	0.08	0.22	-0.01	22	57%	0.30	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.02	15	56%	0.07	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	15	53%	-0.07	1	-0.02	13	38%	-0.11
Karl Malone	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	15	31%	-0.18	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	8	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.02	23	69%	0.22	4	-0.13	6	83%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.04
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	80%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.11	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	9	30%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	15	42%	-0.03	1	-0.13	8	100%	0.06
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.14	-0.19	-0.00	10	21%	-0.30	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	34.2	16.5	26.0	2.0	39.3	143.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.2%

MIL -14.5%

LAL +8.0%

LAL +19.8%

LAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	15.7	115.3	105.9	100.5
season	15.4	15.3		102.8	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.3	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	15.9	16.7	14.6	14.9
MIL	15.0	14.8	14.0	12.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	79	79	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.31	22	-16	38	14.9	14.9	-0.01	14.3	13.4	0.90
Devean George	70	72	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.38	19	-13	32	14.2	16.5	-2.26	13.8	14.6	-0.77
Gary Payton	73	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-9	24	14.3	16.6	-2.24	14.2	13.8	0.35
Kobe Bryant	82	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-1	8	15.3	12.8	2.48	14.1	13.8	0.28
Karl Malone	71	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	6	-6	15.2	14.0	1.23	14.7	12.2	2.52
Luke Walton	15	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	5	-4	15.7	14.7	0.92	10.4	14.8	-4.32
Kareem Rush	16	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	12	-18	17.1	14.5	2.60	13.9	14.1	-0.22
Bryon Russell	12	13	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	16	-26	15.2	14.8	0.32	16.4	13.7	2.66
Derek Fisher	44	46	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	12	-18	14.3	15.4	-1.07	13.1	14.9	-1.72
Horace Grant	28	30	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.01	-12	18	-30	15.1	14.8	0.31	14.5	13.9	0.66

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	46	45	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.10	6	-12	18	13.0	14.9	-1.88	14.9	14.9	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	41	39	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-9	12	13.4	14.5	-1.14	15.4	14.5	0.87
Toni Kukoc	38	35	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-8	10	12.9	14.7	-1.80	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Marcus Haislip	5	4	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-7	8	14.8	14.0	0.77	16.2	14.8	1.42
Daniel Santiago	44	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.06	-3	-3	0	15.1	13.3	1.81	15.4	14.4	0.99
Tim Thomas	81	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-5	4	14.7	11.4	3.33	15.1	14.2	0.89
Joe Smith	64	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	0	-6	14.8	12.8	1.94	15.2	14.4	0.80
Desmond Mason	57	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.39	-8	2	-10	12.9	15.5	-2.62	14.5	15.4	-0.95
T.J. Ford	55	53	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.43	-12	6	-18	14.9	13.0	1.88	14.9	14.9	-0.00
Michael Redd	74	71	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.43	-12	6	-18	13.9	14.5	-0.61	14.3	16.4	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	90.7%
CHI 93, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.16,0	90.1%
LAL 93, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.81,0.57,0.16,0	89.8%