inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 86 Excitement8.0 [269] MVPMatt Harpring (UTA): +23.1%
Houston Rockets 83 Comeback10.4 [95] LVPRafer Alston (HOU): -13.7%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.23,0.230.030.20-0.00660%0.251-0.023100%0.04
Gordan Giricek0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.11-0.00764%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Jarron Collins0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.06-0.00260%0.0800.00667%0.01
Carlos Boozer0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.09,-0.09,0.06-0.080.13-0.011337%0.092-0.03956%-0.08
Derek Fisher-0.040,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01741%-0.021-0.023100%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.00844%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Mehmet Okur-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.070.03-0.080.021845%-0.0700.00862%-0.04
Paul Millsap-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00333%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Deron Williams-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.08-0.021537%-0.071-0.042100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yao Ming0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.080.080.070.040.032456%0.163-0.081587%0.04
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.06-0.00850%0.081-0.02450%-0.04
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02837%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.022342%-0.051-0.0320%-0.05
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.011025%-0.121-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.72.426.514.826.32.633.0137.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +7.3%
UTA +22.6%
UTA +23.3%
UTA +0.3%
HOU -3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAHOUNBAUTAHOUNBA
this game17.615.915.4100.096.5104.5
season15.915.6107.4103.6
opponent15.715.099.2104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.319.416.417.417.6
HOU17.916.614.215.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Harpring40410.67-0.170.830.496-3916.618.4-1.8116.415.50.85
Carlos Boozer48490.65-0.150.790.476-3917.218.1-0.8715.216.9-1.66
Andrei Kirilenko55550.61-0.110.730.475-2718.116.51.6015.317.0-1.74
Mehmet Okur67670.58-0.090.670.474-1517.717.10.6615.517.3-1.79
Deron Williams74740.350.150.200.3503-318.014.73.3715.618.1-2.52
Derek Fisher4444-0.060.56-0.63-0.00-25-716.818.3-1.4915.916.0-0.07
Gordan Giricek4544-0.070.57-0.63-0.0703-317.717.50.2016.914.92.03
Jarron Collins1717-0.110.61-0.72-0.05-25-717.217.7-0.4917.215.61.57
Paul Millsap4039-0.120.62-0.75-0.07-25-717.917.20.7116.915.11.88

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Hayes4746-0.10-0.400.31-0.183-6915.616.4-0.8117.617.50.04
John Lucas III910-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-4515.715.9-0.2812.918.2-5.28
Kirk Snyder3030-0.16-0.340.190.02-63-916.715.51.1518.617.01.63
Dikembe Mutombo1010-0.18-0.320.15-0.03-52-718.915.53.3715.317.9-2.57
Yao Ming7373-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.424-71115.518.2-2.7217.915.52.48
Shane Battier7675-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.372-5715.816.8-1.0017.716.90.76
Juwan Howard4141-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.10-96-1516.515.41.0417.817.30.50
Rafer Alston7879-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.33-30-315.916.2-0.3717.815.12.64
Tracy McGrady6666-0.540.04-0.57-0.48-2-1-115.716.6-0.8917.218.8-1.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 128, PHI 1220.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.27,092.3%
POR 100, DET 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.26,091.6%
MIL 93, CHA 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.77,0.59,090.8%