NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	128		Excitement	9.5 [128]		MVP	Mike Scott (PHI): +53.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	122		Comeback	9.6 [198]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -13.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.49,0.48	0.13	0.36	0.00	13	65%	0.49	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.39	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.30	0.12	0.03	22	69%	0.39	0	0.00	21	76%	-0.03
D.J. Wilson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	69%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Sterling Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	12	46%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.04	0.01	12	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	18	51%	0.08	5	-0.13	7	71%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.23	0.31	0.00	11	100%	0.54	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.26	0.11	-0.00	15	85%	0.37	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jonah Bolden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zhaire Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	31	47%	0.11	3	-0.18	10	70%	-0.07
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	5	60%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	15	43%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	3.4	29.4	15.5	26.4	3.3	35.7	145.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -5.5%

MIL +20.2%

MIL +15.3%

MIL +13.2%

MIL +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	11.8	13.1	14.3	109.4	107.0	109.3
season	13.5	14.0		112.4	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		108.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.4	12.8	12.0	10.4	11.8
PHI	11.6	13.4	13.3	14.2	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sterling Brown	85	84	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-4	14	11.7	12.3	-0.64	13.4	12.4	1.00
Khris Middleton	65	65	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	11.4	12.4	-1.07	12.6	13.7	-1.07
Giannis Antetokounmpo	87	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-3	12	11.7	12.1	-0.39	13.9	11.3	2.54
Brook Lopez	76	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	0	6	12.1	11.3	0.81	13.4	12.6	0.74
George Hill	77	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.47	-1	7	-8	12.4	10.7	1.74	12.9	13.4	-0.51
Eric Bledsoe	7	7	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	-2	10	9.7	12.0	-2.27	14.4	13.0	1.41
D.J. Wilson	37	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	3	0	12.3	11.6	0.66	11.7	13.8	-2.11
Ersan Ilyasova	49	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	12.0	11.8	0.19	12.2	13.7	-1.45
Tim Frazier	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	10.6	12.2	-1.68	13.6	12.9	0.71
Pat Connaughton	74	72	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.03	-10	16	-26	12.1	11.5	0.57	13.2	12.9	0.36

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zhaire Smith	44	44	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-12	18	12.2	13.7	-1.54	12.3	11.6	0.68
T.J. McConnell	25	26	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-7	8	14.9	12.6	2.32	13.0	11.5	1.53
Jonah Bolden	49	47	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	12.6	13.5	-0.86	12.2	11.6	0.54
Boban Marjanovic	9	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-6	6	8.1	13.5	-5.42	12.4	11.8	0.57
Shake Milton	40	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	15.4	11.9	3.54	12.0	11.8	0.17
Joel Embiid	85	91	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-6	6	13.7	11.5	2.18	12.2	10.5	1.68
JJ Redick	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	11.9	15.4	-3.54	11.8	12.0	-0.17
Ben Simmons	89	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	1	-8	12.6	14.9	-2.32	11.5	13.0	-1.53
Tobias Harris	70	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.33	-12	6	-18	13.7	12.2	1.54	11.6	12.3	-0.68
Mike Scott	85	88	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	7	-20	13.4	12.3	1.02	11.2	13.7	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	92.3%
POR 100, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.26,0	91.5%
LAL 95, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	91.5%