NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	8.1 [213]		MVP	Jerome Kersey (LAL): +9.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	3.6 [243]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -27.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Kersey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.13	0.06	5	54%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.01	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	16	61%	0.08	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.11
Kobe Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Byron Scott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17	-0.00	-0.09	0.08	8	58%	-0.06	2	-0.11	10	80%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	13	37%	-0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28	-0.04	-0.21	0.02	19	55%	-0.09	4	-0.19	11	82%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	10	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.01	14	75%	0.19	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.03	16	68%	0.06	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	6	47%	-0.03	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.12	-0.03	13	43%	-0.08	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	8	30%	-0.14	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.0	36.1	16.8	28.0	1.8	45.2	157.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -15.9%

LAL +33.5%

LAL +20.7%

LAL +19.0%

POR -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	17.1	15.6	108.0	103.4	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		105.8	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		101.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	17.0	14.4	15.6	15.6
POR	15.1	17.2	19.9	16.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	76	75	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-5	14	15.5	16.7	-1.21	17.4	15.5	1.83
Elden Campbell	67	66	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-5	14	15.5	15.9	-0.37	16.6	18.7	-2.11
Nick Van Exel	84	84	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-4	12	15.3	22.0	-6.68	17.0	18.7	-1.73
Jerome Kersey	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	4	-4	16.2	14.9	1.24	16.6	17.7	-1.07
Eddie Jones	62	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	1	2	16.5	13.7	2.80	17.5	15.9	1.65
Byron Scott	15	13	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	-1	6	15.4	15.7	-0.27	19.2	16.7	2.41
Sean Rooks	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	19.0	15.6	3.41	21.0	17.1	3.94
Kobe Bryant	10	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	6	-8	20.0	15.1	4.94	16.7	17.2	-0.49
Robert Horry	59	59	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	10	-16	13.9	19.1	-5.19	16.7	18.0	-1.29
Travis Knight	16	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	11	-18	17.1	15.3	1.76	18.0	16.9	1.11

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	54	54	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.20	4	-8	12	17.7	16.1	1.65	16.9	13.6	3.27
Rumeal Robinson	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-4	4	20.4	16.8	3.60	20.9	15.1	5.77
Stacey Augmon	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-1	-2	17.3	17.1	0.27	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Chris Dudley	20	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-4	4	17.3	17.0	0.32	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	79	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-3	2	16.8	19.8	-2.98	15.2	19.7	-4.54
Gary Trent	37	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-2	0	16.2	17.7	-1.48	14.5	16.5	-1.93
Kenny Anderson	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	16.8	20.4	-3.60	15.1	20.9	-5.77
Isaiah Rider	76	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	17.1	17.3	-0.27	15.6	15.5	0.10
Arvydas Sabonis	74	74	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.43	-11	7	-18	17.3	15.9	1.40	15.7	15.1	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.84,0.69,0.09,0	92.2%
MIL 128, PHI 122	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.27,0	91.5%
PHI 84, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	91.3%