NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	8.0 [249]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +35.6%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	2.0 [612]		LVP	Devean George (LAL): -15.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.15	0.20	-0.01	28	67%	0.42	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.05
Rick Fox	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	-0.10	0.13	-0.08	11	27%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	16	61%	0.08	0	0.00	12	58%	-0.06
Kareem Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	78%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	6	33%	-0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	12	72%	0.21	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	18	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	6	64%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	16	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	26	49%	0.07	3	-0.13	15	80%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	3	-0.15	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	26.8	17.6	26.7	2.6	32.2	136.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +15.8%

LAL +19.6%

GSW -3.8%

LAL +22.0%

GSW -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.5	118.2	112.1	101.6
season	15.4	14.6		105.0	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.8	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.7	12.4	14.9	17.7	15.1
GSW	15.6	15.3	13.3	11.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	86	85	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.27	16	-10	26	15.3	14.0	1.28	14.5	10.6	3.89
Shaquille O'Neal	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-4	14	14.8	15.9	-1.08	14.2	13.3	0.94
Robert Horry	54	52	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-6	18	15.6	14.5	1.10	14.3	13.6	0.65
Devean George	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	14.7	15.6	-0.89	13.8	14.2	-0.33
Derek Fisher	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	3	0	15.8	14.1	1.73	13.3	14.9	-1.57
Mark Madsen	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	9	-12	14.8	15.2	-0.40	13.2	14.4	-1.17
Rick Fox	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	5	-4	15.6	14.7	0.89	14.2	13.8	0.33
Brian Shaw	11	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.05	3	3	0	12.8	15.4	-2.58	15.7	13.7	2.01
Slava Medvedenko	2	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	11	-16	14.0	15.1	-1.13	4.3	14.3	-9.95
Jannero Pargo	30	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	14.7	15.3	-0.54	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Kareem Rush	50	50	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	14	-22	14.8	15.4	-0.63	13.8	14.1	-0.32

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-9	12	15.3	13.8	1.54	12.5	15.5	-2.97
Jiri Welsch	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-7	8	13.6	14.0	-0.39	12.6	15.4	-2.81
Bob Sura	44	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-2	-2	14.3	13.7	0.57	14.9	15.3	-0.32
Adonal Foyle	57	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-4	2	14.3	13.5	0.83	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Mike Dunleavy	72	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-5	4	13.5	15.2	-1.66	16.0	12.8	3.16
Erick Dampier	46	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	1	-8	14.0	14.0	0.04	15.8	14.4	1.40
Antawn Jamison	94	93	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	13.9	16.0	-2.13	15.2	14.3	0.83
Gilbert Arenas	86	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	3	-12	14.0	14.2	-0.20	15.4	12.9	2.52
Jason Richardson	76	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.49	-5	-1	-4	13.9	14.1	-0.20	14.7	16.5	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.38,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.02,0	91.7%
SAS 83, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.11,0.1,0.09,0	91.7%
HOU 124, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.33,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.21,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	91.6%