NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	7.1 [382]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +24.8%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.5 [773]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -21.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.01	17	59%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.13	0.02	14	55%	0.19	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.08	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.04
DeJuan Blair	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	11	36%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	13	87%	0.40	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	13	61%	0.15	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	12	67%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.05	12	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	9	20%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	28.2	16.6	25.2	2.5	31.5	130.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +63.0%

NYK -16.2%

SAS +3.1%

NYK -3.1%

SAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	14.7	15.3	104.4	96.7	106.0
season	15.9	14.7		108.2	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.1	14.0	18.1	19.1	17.0
NYK	14.2	14.8	15.5	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	52	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-4	15	18.1	15.5	2.65	14.6	14.8	-0.26
DeJuan Blair	68	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	17.2	16.3	0.84	14.2	16.1	-1.95
Manu Ginobili	60	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	16.1	18.6	-2.43	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Antonio McDyess	36	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-2	11	15.2	18.1	-2.91	15.7	14.0	1.70
Tim Duncan	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	8	-9	18.0	15.4	2.54	15.5	13.4	2.07
Tony Parker	61	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	7	-7	16.2	18.5	-2.27	14.7	14.7	-0.04
George Hill	44	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	1	5	17.1	16.9	0.26	15.4	14.0	1.47
Richard Jefferson	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	6	-5	17.4	16.7	0.76	13.4	15.6	-2.18
Keith Bogans	40	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	17.1	16.8	0.31	15.0	14.4	0.62

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	63	64	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-13	19	15.6	12.6	2.98	17.5	15.7	1.81
David Lee	74	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-9	11	14.5	15.3	-0.77	16.8	17.7	-0.86
Chris Duhon	71	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-7	7	14.6	14.9	-0.29	16.5	18.7	-2.21
Larry Hughes	27	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	2	-11	14.4	14.8	-0.43	17.7	16.6	1.12
Danilo Gallinari	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	14.4	15.5	-1.15	16.3	19.0	-2.71
Jonathan Bender	21	21	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	4	-15	14.2	14.8	-0.56	17.0	17.0	0.09
Al Harrington	55	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	6	-19	15.1	13.9	1.20	17.8	15.8	2.00
Wilson Chandler	75	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	-3	-1	14.2	16.7	-2.45	16.9	17.6	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.01,0	92.5%
WAS 101, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.08,0	92.2%
HOU 124, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.33,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.21,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	92.2%