NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	83		Excitement	5.1 [781]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +14.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	1.1 [953]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -9.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	10	68%	0.09	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	9	52%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Glen Rice	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	13	47%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	10	65%	0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	70%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	13	68%	0.14	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	9	33%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	26.4	14.7	22.1	2.8	29.2	120.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.4%

HOU -4.4%

POR +6.3%

POR +5.6%

POR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	16.8	16.9	15.5	97.6	109.3	101.6
season	16.3	16.0		101.7	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.8	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.2	17.0	14.4	17.8	16.8
POR	13.1	20.9	16.9	17.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-7	3	16.4	17.1	-0.66	15.5	17.8	-2.32
Juaquin Hawkins	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-10	9	14.9	17.1	-2.19	18.1	16.7	1.39
Yao Ming	55	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-5	-1	16.6	17.1	-0.52	16.0	18.5	-2.43
Moochie Norris	22	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-11	11	17.3	16.6	0.70	18.8	16.1	2.65
Steve Francis	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	16.6	17.7	-1.17	16.9	16.9	-0.08
James Posey	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-2	-7	15.9	17.6	-1.69	15.6	18.0	-2.43
Glen Rice	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-9	7	17.6	15.9	1.69	18.0	15.6	2.43
Kelvin Cato	30	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-6	1	17.1	16.6	0.52	18.5	16.0	2.43
Maurice Taylor	52	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	17.1	16.4	0.66	17.8	15.5	2.32
Cuttino Mobley	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.04	-15	4	-19	17.2	15.3	1.86	16.0	20.1	-4.07

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	48	46	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-4	19	15.0	19.2	-4.22	16.8	16.8	-0.04
Derek Anderson	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-5	21	16.4	19.6	-3.14	16.7	17.6	-0.96
Zach Randolph	36	36	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	3	5	15.6	17.8	-2.19	17.5	16.3	1.17
Bonzi Wells	52	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	1	9	17.0	16.7	0.34	16.8	16.7	0.11
Damon Stoudamire	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	2	7	16.4	17.8	-1.44	16.9	16.6	0.29
Jeff McInnis	31	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	9	-7	17.8	16.4	1.44	16.6	16.9	-0.29
Rasheed Wallace	56	56	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	7	-3	18.1	14.5	3.61	16.9	16.7	0.22
Ruben Patterson	32	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	8	-5	16.7	17.0	-0.31	16.8	16.8	-0.07
Charles Smith	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	16.5	16.9	-0.39	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Qyntel Woods	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	16.5	16.9	-0.39	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Antonio Daniels	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	14	-17	20.2	16.4	3.75	17.8	16.7	1.13
Dale Davis	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	16	-21	18.9	15.7	3.22	15.9	17.3	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.97,0.93,1,0.98,0.98,1	94.7%
CLE 80, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
SEA 108, DAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%