NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	5.3 [761]		MVP	Otto Porter (WAS): +15.4%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	1.2 [1157]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -11.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.04	11	79%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	9	78%	0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	13	52%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Nikola Vucevic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	18	42%	-0.08	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.08	0.01	8	72%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.00	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	12	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	17	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	27.3	15.4	25.6	2.5	32.3	130.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.3%

WAS +0.2%

WAS +5.4%

WAS +12.2%

WAS +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.1	100.0	108.9	104.2
season	14.9	15.1		100.4	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		101.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.6	14.8	17.4	14.4	15.6
WAS	12.6	19.8	14.5	17.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-6	7	14.7	15.7	-0.99	19.4	15.5	3.94
Ben Gordon	11	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-6	7	14.4	15.7	-1.38	12.6	16.3	-3.72
Victor Oladipo	59	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-8	11	15.2	16.3	-1.17	16.2	15.2	0.97
Nikola Vucevic	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-8	11	15.8	14.8	1.01	15.9	16.0	-0.19
Evan Fournier	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-5	5	15.6	15.4	0.23	16.1	14.9	1.18
Aaron Gordon	28	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	1	-7	15.0	15.8	-0.83	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Willie Green	29	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	2	-9	15.3	15.7	-0.34	16.6	15.6	0.91
Elfrid Payton	34	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	4	-13	16.3	15.2	1.17	15.2	16.2	-0.97
Tobias Harris	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-4	3	15.8	15.0	0.78	15.6	17.0	-1.50
Channing Frye	83	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.23	-10	5	-15	15.7	14.6	1.10	16.0	15.4	0.61

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	50	51	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	2	1	16.7	14.9	1.76	14.5	16.8	-2.28
Kris Humphries	48	50	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	2	1	17.2	14.4	2.89	15.3	16.0	-0.69
John Wall	64	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	14.9	18.4	-3.55	15.9	14.9	1.04
Rasual Butler	46	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	18.1	13.6	4.43	14.1	17.1	-2.97
Kevin Seraphin	26	30	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	1	3	19.1	14.6	4.47	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Garrett Temple	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	0	5	13.2	18.7	-5.58	16.7	14.5	2.22
Andre Miller	26	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	2	1	18.4	14.9	3.55	14.9	15.9	-1.04
Marcin Gortat	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	0	5	14.1	18.3	-4.18	17.0	13.8	3.26
Nene	52	52	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	7	-9	15.3	16.7	-1.36	15.3	15.9	-0.58
Paul Pierce	40	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	2	1	14.9	16.7	-1.76	16.8	14.5	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.97,0.93,1,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 86, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.9%
HOU 83, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
PHX 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	94.5%