NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	108		Excitement	5.1 [781]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (DAL): +15.8%
Dallas Mavericks	118		Comeback	1.1 [1003]		LVP	Vitaly Potapenko (SEA): -7.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	13	71%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.03	15	62%	0.09	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.03	0.05	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.02	10	81%	0.19	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	8	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	18	63%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	17	61%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.03	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	19.2	17.3	21.6	2.7	24.3	110.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.5%

DAL +15.0%

SEA -0.4%

DAL +4.3%

DAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.5	15.7	116.1	128.3	100.5
season	15.6	14.6		105.0	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.9	17.6	16.0	14.0	16.7
DAL	12.4	13.0	14.6	17.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	14	14	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-17	24	17.1	16.6	0.48	12.6	14.8	-2.22
Ansu Sesay	58	58	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.30	13	-23	36	15.5	18.7	-3.19	15.0	13.5	1.56
Brent Barry	62	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-9	8	16.5	17.1	-0.65	15.2	13.0	2.19
Calvin Booth	37	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-16	22	15.7	17.3	-1.65	14.5	14.4	0.14
Rashard Lewis	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	1	-12	18.5	16.0	2.54	12.8	15.1	-2.24
Vitaly Potapenko	47	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.21	-17	7	-24	18.0	15.3	2.74	13.7	15.2	-1.48
Ray Allen	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	2	-14	17.6	14.2	3.43	13.8	16.3	-2.48
Reggie Evans	22	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	4	-18	19.5	15.8	3.65	11.4	15.4	-4.06
Ronald Murray	49	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	16.8	16.5	0.32	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Richie Frahm	40	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	14.4	18.3	-3.89	16.6	13.0	3.62
Luke Ridnour	43	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	15.7	17.5	-1.80	16.1	13.1	2.96

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	81	84	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	-11	32	14.2	16.5	-2.27	17.2	11.2	6.03
Shawn Bradley	19	20	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	-5	20	16.2	14.0	2.14	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Dirk Nowitzki	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-1	12	13.1	18.1	-5.03	18.2	12.8	5.41
Antoine Walker	56	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	6	-2	15.1	13.4	1.71	16.0	17.7	-1.77
Steve Nash	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	13.7	16.5	-2.85	16.7	16.5	0.26
Antawn Jamison	57	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	10	-10	15.4	13.0	2.35	15.7	18.3	-2.64
Marquis Daniels	78	77	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	5	0	14.7	13.0	1.72	16.9	15.7	1.11
Eduardo Najera	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	19.3	14.1	5.23	8.2	17.3	-9.09
Josh Howard	29	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	15	-20	14.2	14.6	-0.41	16.6	16.7	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
HOU 83, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
ORL 93, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%