NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	5.9 [605]		MVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): +18.5%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	1.4 [773]		LVP	Brad Miller (IND): -9.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	23	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	19	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	7	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	48%	0.00	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.00	12	80%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	13	69%	0.22	7	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	18%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	29.4	17.4	26.5	2.3	38.5	140.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +60.6%

GSW +0.7%

IND -9.5%

IND -2.0%

GSW +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	13.8	15.5	102.0	108.1	101.6
season	15.4	14.6		102.2	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	16.3	19.0	12.7	15.4
GSW	14.0	12.5	13.8	15.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-9	11	19.7	15.1	4.53	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Jeff Foster	11	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-7	7	15.4	15.4	-0.06	10.9	14.2	-3.31
Ron Mercer	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	16.4	15.0	1.31	12.1	14.5	-2.45
Jamaal Tinsley	49	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.1	0.55	14.5	13.2	1.22
Reggie Miller	68	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	14.7	17.0	-2.28	14.1	13.3	0.76
Brad Miller	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	16.5	13.8	2.69	14.0	13.5	0.51
Jamison Brewer	44	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	14.8	15.9	-1.13	13.2	14.4	-1.15
Metta World Peace	80	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	15.2	16.4	-1.26	14.4	11.0	3.41
Al Harrington	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	2	-11	15.3	15.7	-0.49	13.6	14.4	-0.80
Jermaine O'Neal	80	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	3	-13	15.1	16.8	-1.67	14.2	12.4	1.81

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	0	7	14.3	12.3	2.02	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Chris Mills	51	50	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-3	13	15.7	11.8	3.87	15.6	15.2	0.33
Adonal Foyle	46	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	3	1	13.5	14.1	-0.61	13.9	16.7	-2.79
Gilbert Arenas	82	81	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	2	3	13.6	14.8	-1.20	15.0	17.5	-2.55
Jason Richardson	73	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	1	5	13.4	15.0	-1.64	15.7	14.7	0.99
Bob Sura	44	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	5	-3	12.3	15.0	-2.72	16.0	15.0	1.00
Earl Boykins	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	6	-5	14.9	13.2	1.70	14.1	16.1	-1.98
Erick Dampier	53	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	5	-3	14.1	13.5	0.61	16.7	13.9	2.79
Mike Dunleavy	13	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	6	-5	10.1	14.4	-4.32	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Troy Murphy	25	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	10	-13	13.5	13.9	-0.41	17.1	14.8	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NOK 93, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.4%
OKC 74, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%