NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	7.5 [311]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +23.3%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	2.7 [784]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -19.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.01	23	64%	0.28	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.04
Efthimios Rentzias	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	7	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	63%	0.12	4	-0.19	3	67%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	19	31%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.01	-0.17	0.01	9	60%	-0.05	2	-0.14	7	71%	-0.09

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	11	64%	0.15	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	21	60%	0.17	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.05	0.00	16	47%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	5	33%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	10	58%	0.03	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	31.6	16.4	22.6	2.7	32.0	131.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.9%

SAC +5.0%

SAC +15.9%

PHI -15.0%

SAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	13.5	15.5	100.0	108.1	101.6
season	15.3	14.0		102.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	16.8	16.2	15.3	15.6
SAC	13.0	13.7	14.4	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	40	41	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-10	12	14.1	16.6	-2.43	14.0	13.1	0.95
Efthimios Rentzias	5	5	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-11	14	13.6	15.7	-2.10	17.4	13.3	4.11
Kenny Thomas	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-5	2	16.9	15.5	1.36	13.9	13.5	0.39
Keith Van Horn	59	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	14.1	17.7	-3.61	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Brian Skinner	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-9	10	16.2	15.1	1.04	13.0	13.9	-0.92
Tyrone Hill	22	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	18.8	14.7	4.08	14.0	13.4	0.63
Aaron McKie	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-8	8	15.6	15.6	0.02	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Allen Iverson	97	98	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	15.5	22.5	-7.05	13.6	5.0	8.58
Eric Snow	84	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	1	-10	15.8	14.3	1.57	13.2	15.0	-1.82
Derrick Coleman	72	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	8	-24	16.2	14.0	2.19	13.5	13.4	0.12

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	13.6	12.9	0.67	15.2	17.5	-2.33
Vlade Divac	70	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-5	18	13.2	14.2	-1.01	16.5	13.3	3.17
Peja Stojakovic	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	0	8	13.1	14.2	-1.12	14.7	17.4	-2.65
Chris Webber	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	1	6	13.7	12.4	1.24	15.1	18.6	-3.54
Mike Bibby	78	79	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	3	2	13.1	15.1	-2.09	15.7	15.1	0.56
Keon Clark	30	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	11	-14	14.6	13.0	1.54	15.3	15.7	-0.47
Jim Jackson	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	8	-8	14.2	13.1	1.12	17.4	14.7	2.65
Bobby Jackson	41	41	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	7	-6	13.6	13.4	0.15	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Scot Pollard	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	13.0	13.6	-0.55	17.3	15.4	1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.54,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	92.1%
TOR 97, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.84,0.74,1	91.8%
ATL 81, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.85,1	91.8%