NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	81		Excitement	7.7 [274]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +11.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	3.6 [583]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (ATL): -20.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hanno Mottola	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Larry Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.09	-0.14	0.02	19	66%	-0.01	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	14	37%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	13	31%	-0.16	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	5	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	14	67%	0.15	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	37%	-0.00	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	14	44%	-0.02	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	15	47%	-0.17	0	0.00	15	73%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	28.5	15.7	23.0	1.7	39.3	130.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.9%

MIN +14.2%

ATL -29.6%

MIN +32.7%

MIN +16.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.5	88.0	94.6	100.9
season	15.4	15.0		96.0	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.7	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.2	15.5	13.7	19.4	16.0
MIN	17.3	16.5	13.0	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hanno Mottola	19	21	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.03	9	-16	25	15.1	16.3	-1.21	17.0	14.6	2.48
Jim Jackson	28	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	14.7	16.6	-1.92	16.4	14.5	1.84
Cal Bowdler	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-5	3	21.0	15.8	5.22	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Larry Robinson	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	18.3	15.6	2.70	15.9	15.0	0.96
Anthony Johnson	34	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-3	-1	15.4	16.4	-1.04	15.4	15.0	0.42
Matt Maloney	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-4	1	16.4	15.4	1.04	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Jason Terry	79	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	15.4	19.7	-4.29	14.8	16.9	-2.03
Dikembe Mutombo	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	15.7	17.8	-2.10	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Roshown McLeod	64	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	1	-9	16.6	14.7	1.92	14.5	16.4	-1.84
Lorenzen Wright	79	80	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.33	-13	6	-19	16.4	13.4	3.06	15.0	16.0	-1.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	38	36	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-7	21	14.5	15.6	-1.06	18.1	14.7	3.45
Kevin Garnett	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-1	9	15.0	16.9	-1.91	16.0	16.2	-0.26
Sam Mitchell	20	19	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	3	1	16.9	14.6	2.26	18.1	15.5	2.64
Sam Jacobson	9	10	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	1	5	16.0	15.0	0.96	21.4	15.4	6.05
William Avery	37	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	0	7	14.5	15.6	-1.07	18.8	14.4	4.41
Terrell Brandon	56	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	7	-7	15.6	14.5	1.07	14.4	18.8	-4.41
Wally Szczerbiak	73	73	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	4	-1	14.6	16.9	-2.26	15.5	18.1	-2.64
Anthony Peeler	61	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	6	-5	14.5	16.4	-1.90	14.8	18.1	-3.24
Chauncey Billups	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	16.5	14.7	1.85	16.7	15.8	0.86
Dean Garrett	43	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	8	-9	15.1	15.1	-0.02	14.2	17.6	-3.37
Rasho Nesterovic	20	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	14	-21	17.0	14.6	2.45	16.2	16.0	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.83,1	92.6%
TOR 97, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.84,0.74,1	92.6%
MIA 74, NYK 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.69,1	91.9%