NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	5.7 [637]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +8.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	1.9 [734]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -16.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	15	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	15	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	10	58%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	23	42%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	20	67%	0.19	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	80%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	0%	-0.04
Igor Rakocevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	125%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	8	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	17	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	4	33%	-0.05	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.6	15.6	23.1	1.8	28.0	124.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +68.0%

PHI -3.1%

PHI -2.5%

PHI -12.9%

MIN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	15.5	93.8	103.1	101.6
season	15.3	14.9		102.1	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	15.6	15.9	15.0	15.4
MIN	12.1	12.6	14.7	19.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Efthimios Rentzias	16	15	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-16	24	15.4	15.4	0.03	13.0	14.7	-1.69
Todd MacCulloch	7	8	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-9	10	18.9	15.1	3.71	12.4	14.6	-2.24
John Salmons	49	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-14	20	14.4	16.4	-1.95	15.2	13.7	1.46
Derrick Coleman	59	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-13	18	13.9	17.7	-3.74	15.1	13.4	1.72
Keith Van Horn	55	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-6	4	16.3	14.2	2.11	15.2	13.4	1.80
Eric Snow	77	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	15.5	14.9	0.58	14.6	13.4	1.23
Aaron McKie	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	7	-22	15.2	16.0	-0.71	14.2	15.2	-1.04
Brian Skinner	62	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.04	-20	12	-32	15.9	14.6	1.27	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Allen Iverson	86	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	8	-24	15.8	12.4	3.44	13.7	18.6	-4.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-7	22	14.4	14.4	0.01	15.4	15.3	0.10
Kevin Garnett	80	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-7	22	14.3	15.2	-0.91	16.2	11.1	5.14
Troy Hudson	76	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-2	12	14.2	15.2	-0.98	15.7	14.4	1.28
Rasho Nesterovic	71	70	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	4	0	13.9	16.0	-2.07	15.3	15.7	-0.46
Marc Jackson	25	27	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	4	0	16.0	13.9	2.07	15.7	15.3	0.46
Anthony Peeler	61	63	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	9	-10	14.4	14.4	0.04	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Kendall Gill	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	6	-4	14.0	14.8	-0.79	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Igor Rakocevic	20	20	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	10	-12	15.2	14.2	0.98	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Gary Trent	26	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	15	-22	15.6	14.0	1.58	14.9	15.6	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 116, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.1%
IND 91, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.98,1	94.0%
LAC 94, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%