NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	5.9 [604]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +9.5%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.4 [766]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -27.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	92%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	18	58%	0.03	5	-0.15	7	71%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.06
Metta World Peace	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28	-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	11	33%	-0.07	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.04	9	76%	0.10	0	0.00	11	100%	0.04
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	18	50%	0.01	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.7	27.2	15.7	30.1	2.5	37.5	141.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +3.1%

UTA +27.0%

IND -6.9%

UTA +19.7%

UTA +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.5	103.4	114.6	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		102.2	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.9	15.4	17.5	14.0	16.1
UTA	17.2	15.2	16.8	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	14	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-10	9	16.0	16.1	-0.14	12.3	17.3	-5.00
Fred Jones	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-11	11	13.7	16.5	-2.83	13.8	16.8	-3.00
Al Harrington	65	65	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-17	23	15.4	18.1	-2.73	16.2	17.0	-0.78
Austin Croshere	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-6	1	15.1	16.4	-1.31	14.8	16.9	-2.03
Jonathan Bender	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.11	-10	-1	-9	16.4	16.0	0.44	15.6	16.7	-1.09
Metta World Peace	62	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	15.7	17.1	-1.37	15.6	18.5	-2.90
Jermaine O'Neal	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-5	-1	16.2	15.5	0.75	17.9	10.6	7.36
Ron Mercer	64	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-3	-5	16.4	15.4	0.96	16.8	15.2	1.63
Brad Miller	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	-3	-5	17.2	14.0	3.26	17.6	14.2	3.43
Reggie Miller	47	48	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	2	-15	16.6	15.5	1.08	16.6	16.3	0.29

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	58	57	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.08	22	-11	33	16.9	15.5	1.50	16.6	15.2	1.42
Karl Malone	66	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-1	13	16.8	15.5	1.28	16.9	13.9	3.02
Greg Ostertag	49	47	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	0	11	17.9	14.6	3.23	17.3	14.7	2.63
Matt Harpring	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	3	5	17.0	14.7	2.24	16.5	15.0	1.53
Calbert Cheaney	56	55	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	1	9	16.6	16.2	0.39	16.9	14.8	2.12
Andrei Kirilenko	52	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	13	-15	15.5	17.7	-2.14	14.8	17.9	-3.11
Carlos Arroyo	2	3	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	5	1	17.5	16.4	1.10	15.7	16.1	-0.46
Jarron Collins	37	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	14	-17	15.2	17.3	-2.12	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Scott Padgett	26	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.11	2	9	-7	14.6	17.2	-2.56	13.6	17.2	-3.64
Mark Jackson	31	31	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	22	-33	15.5	16.9	-1.50	15.2	16.6	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%
BKN 118, LAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.99,1	93.4%
UTA 116, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	93.2%