NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	7.0 [394]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +41.0%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	9.4 [74]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -18.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.41	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.26	0.16	0.01	21	82%	0.46	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.08	0.19	0.00	7	75%	0.27	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Marcus Fizer	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	19	57%	0.21	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	62%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	10	20%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.13	-0.05	17	64%	0.27	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	16	51%	0.04	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	6	77%	0.06	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.11	0.01	15	63%	-0.05	2	-0.04	13	77%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	25.5	15.6	25.3	1.7	30.2	125.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.4%

ATL -10.5%

CHI +15.5%

CHI +10.3%

ATL -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.5	125.0	109.7	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		98.3	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.3	15.8	19.0	14.9	15.9
ATL	16.3	14.9	13.8	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	30	31	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.14	22	-9	31	14.8	16.5	-1.63	15.6	15.0	0.56
Marcus Fizer	53	52	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.18	18	-5	23	15.5	16.6	-1.09	15.7	14.5	1.19
Rick Brunson	47	47	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-2	17	15.1	16.8	-1.74	15.9	14.5	1.39
Eddie Robinson	46	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	1	11	15.3	16.5	-1.22	15.3	15.1	0.22
Jalen Rose	85	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	0	13	15.8	17.0	-1.15	15.1	16.4	-1.28
Fred Hoiberg	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	13	-13	17.0	15.8	1.15	16.4	15.1	1.28
Eddy Curry	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	16	-19	14.0	16.3	-2.28	16.2	15.0	1.19
Trenton Hassell	46	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	12	-11	16.5	15.3	1.22	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Jamal Crawford	45	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	15	-17	16.8	15.1	1.74	14.5	15.9	-1.39
Tyson Chandler	45	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	18	-23	16.9	15.0	1.87	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Donyell Marshall	42	43	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.08	-6	19	-25	16.9	15.1	1.83	14.4	15.9	-1.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	19	20	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.01	5	-18	23	16.3	14.9	1.40	14.9	16.2	-1.26
Dan Dickau	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-7	1	16.9	14.3	2.55	13.8	17.1	-3.30
Alan Henderson	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-5	-3	15.4	15.1	0.25	11.7	17.9	-6.20
Nazr Mohammed	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	17.1	14.4	2.72	12.3	17.5	-5.19
Jason Terry	73	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	14.7	17.1	-2.48	16.9	12.8	4.11
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	14.6	17.9	-3.28	16.9	12.2	4.68
Theo Ratliff	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-2	-9	14.5	16.7	-2.16	17.7	12.1	5.65
Glenn Robinson	80	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	0	-13	15.2	14.9	0.33	16.0	15.8	0.19
Ira Newble	65	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.22	-12	-1	-11	15.1	15.5	-0.42	16.9	13.6	3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.7,0.85,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.25,0.06,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 115, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.07,0.04,0	92.8%
GSW 106, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	92.8%
DEN 94, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	91.8%