NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	5.9 [607]		MVP	Kwame Brown (WAS): +14.9%
Toronto Raptors	82		Comeback	1.1 [1005]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -14.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	9	78%	0.15	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	22	56%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.06
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Michael Jordan	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	0.00	15	73%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.02	-0.04	13	56%	0.02	1	0.03	1	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	13	60%	0.08	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	13	32%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	28.5	16.6	22.4	2.5	27.6	124.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +9.3%

WAS +6.2%

WAS +16.1%

WAS +14.0%

WAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	17.5	17.5	15.5	114.5	100.0	101.6
season	16.5	16.2		100.9	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	17.0	16.4	20.0	17.5
TOR	18.5	15.7	17.0	18.9	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	37	37	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-5	23	17.7	17.2	0.49	18.8	16.4	2.38
Jerry Stackhouse	69	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-3	19	17.3	18.1	-0.74	17.0	19.2	-2.25
Larry Hughes	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-3	19	16.4	20.1	-3.64	17.3	18.0	-0.69
Michael Jordan	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	1	11	17.0	19.4	-2.37	17.8	15.8	1.91
Christian Laettner	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	3	7	16.7	19.2	-2.52	16.8	19.1	-2.30
Brendan Haywood	44	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	11	-9	16.5	18.6	-2.09	17.3	17.6	-0.22
Charles Oakley	12	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	14	-15	21.5	16.8	4.73	20.0	17.1	2.94
Bryon Russell	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	15	-17	18.4	16.9	1.48	17.8	17.3	0.50
Tyronn Lue	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.16	-3	16	-19	20.1	16.4	3.64	18.0	17.3	0.69
Etan Thomas	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	16	-19	20.3	16.9	3.38	14.8	18.0	-3.19

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	37	36	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-19	25	15.8	18.8	-3.04	17.7	17.3	0.37
Jermaine Jackson	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-15	17	15.5	17.7	-2.20	16.2	17.7	-1.47
Jelani McCoy	57	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-9	5	16.4	19.9	-3.49	17.4	17.5	-0.06
Voshon Lenard	67	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-10	7	16.2	23.1	-6.95	17.7	16.2	1.41
Greg Foster	25	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	19.9	16.4	3.49	17.5	17.4	0.06
Alvin Williams	64	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	2	-17	18.0	15.4	2.57	18.0	16.0	1.95
Lindsey Hunter	39	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-4	-5	18.2	16.8	1.44	18.2	16.8	1.36
Morris Peterson	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	1	-15	18.1	15.1	3.02	16.6	20.9	-4.38
Jerome Williams	45	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.01	-19	6	-25	18.8	15.8	3.04	17.3	17.7	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 113, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.32,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.9%
TOR 90, CHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	94.5%
ATL 105, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.06,0.02,0,0	94.4%