inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 89 Excitement2.8 [1190] MVPAntawn Jamison (GSW): +3.6%
Golden State Warriors 110 Comeback1.0 [1190] LVPMark Blount (DEN): -9.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donnell Harvey0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.021257%0.031-0.02450%-0.01
Vincent Yarbrough0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.05583%0.0110.00250%-0.01
Kenny Satterfield0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.08771%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nene-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.05579%-0.001-0.01475%-0.01
Ryan Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rodney White-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.05729%-0.023-0.0300%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.130.00-0.071835%-0.032-0.034100%0.01
James Posey-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.02930%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Junior Harrington-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01737%-0.071-0.0020%-0.01
Chris Whitney-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.130.00-0.03833%-0.053-0.04580%-0.00
Mark Blount-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.110.00-0.01631%-0.062-0.04425%-0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.021769%0.084-0.041587%0.02
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.01480%0.033-0.0112100%0.02
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04660%0.022-0.01887%0.01
Oscar Torres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Dean Oliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02765%0.043-0.04367%-0.01
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01657%0.011-0.012100%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.02657%-0.0210.00250%-0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.01560%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.03737%-0.021-0.012100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.628.215.635.43.624.2137.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +32.4%
GSW +14.1%
GSW +2.9%
GSW +3.8%
DEN -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game16.014.115.592.7115.8101.6
season15.714.690.4105.3
opponent15.115.3106.899.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.414.215.117.916.0
GSW11.914.113.118.114.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenny Satterfield780.01-0.510.51-0.176-273317.415.91.5012.114.3-2.16
Vincent Yarbrough2627-0.02-0.480.47-0.196-273314.916.5-1.5915.413.61.82
Nikoloz Tskitishvili3638-0.11-0.390.280.03-5-161117.615.12.4716.312.63.73
Ryan Bowen1210-0.12-0.380.270.06-6-15917.315.91.488.314.8-6.49
Junior Harrington3232-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-10-118.115.03.0316.612.83.80
Rodney White4242-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-191714.917.0-2.1114.114.10.02
Mark Blount4546-0.24-0.260.03-0.15-3-181516.715.51.2615.412.92.49
Nene5149-0.26-0.24-0.030.26-18-3-1515.516.7-1.2612.915.4-2.49
James Posey5351-0.32-0.18-0.150.29-210-2117.214.72.5214.313.90.41
Chris Whitney5755-0.35-0.15-0.190.12-16-5-1114.717.9-3.2112.915.7-2.80
Donnell Harvey4950-0.35-0.15-0.190.03-13-8-515.816.3-0.4614.613.61.00
Juwan Howard7067-0.40-0.10-0.310.24-221-2315.517.6-2.1112.717.5-4.86

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison76780.490.010.49-0.2726-53113.118.3-5.2015.618.2-2.62
Troy Murphy69700.400.100.30-0.2522-12314.612.81.8416.514.81.69
Gilbert Arenas65670.370.130.25-0.01138513.116.3-3.2114.918.6-3.65
Jason Richardson55550.350.150.200.031110113.315.3-2.0215.017.4-2.44
Adonal Foyle46460.280.220.070.08714-714.513.80.6815.316.7-1.46
Earl Boykins40400.240.26-0.03-0.261741315.912.83.1417.315.22.11
Erick Dampier49500.220.28-0.07-0.19147713.814.5-0.6816.715.31.46
Mike Dunleavy39380.110.39-0.280.17-223-2515.413.22.1715.716.3-0.59
Oscar Torres21210.040.46-0.42-0.14615-914.314.00.2918.915.23.66
Dean Oliver660.000.50-0.500.12-425-2913.214.2-1.0019.315.83.51
Jiri Welsch990.000.50-0.500.15-526-3118.013.74.3018.415.82.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 94, IND 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
UTA 94, DAL 1170.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
TOR 84, IND 1040.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%