inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 94 Excitement2.2 [1244] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +9.3%
Dallas Mavericks 117 Comeback1.0 [1246] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -7.6%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.150.000.09994%0.0610.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.001100%0.00
Mikki Moore0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.080.000.05786%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Greg Ostertag0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03283%0.0000.00250%0.00
Michael Ruffin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.001145%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Raul Lopez-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.020100%0.002-0.021100%0.00
Tom Gugliotta-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03617%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.030,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.041046%0.013-0.054100%0.01
Raja Bell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.030.000.061360%-0.022-0.014100%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.031241%-0.052-0.02837%-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.190.000.091087%0.0900.0011100%0.03
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.00-0.02968%0.0710.01450%-0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.061276%0.0610.00989%0.01
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011158%0.041-0.02250%-0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011055%0.0200.002100%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01550%0.0100.002100%0.01
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.001250%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Best00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.526.215.026.51.827.2122.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +28.3%
DAL +10.0%
UTA -2.2%
DAL +13.1%
DAL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADALNBAUTADALNBA
this game18.516.015.7113.3139.3100.5
season17.214.699.4109.2
opponent15.615.2105.0100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA21.917.917.516.618.5
DAL13.117.214.619.416.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams33350.01-0.510.52-0.114-273116.719.6-2.9718.214.53.69
Michael Ruffin55-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-222115.018.7-3.6818.015.92.08
Raul Lopez3335-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-201718.318.6-0.3116.016.1-0.13
Greg Ostertag3231-0.19-0.310.130.19-13-10-318.818.20.5816.216.00.23
Gordan Giricek4546-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-191517.719.3-1.6316.515.41.10
Jarron Collins3435-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-171119.018.10.9215.016.8-1.75
Sasha Pavlovic2729-0.26-0.24-0.010.21-16-7-919.518.01.5214.616.8-2.18
Mikki Moore4648-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-11-12116.920.4-3.4216.215.80.47
Andrei Kirilenko5654-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-11-12118.817.71.1715.916.2-0.29
Raja Bell3737-0.27-0.23-0.040.20-16-7-918.418.5-0.0916.815.41.36
Tom Gugliotta2424-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-6-1121.117.43.7515.016.5-1.53
Carlos Arroyo4341-0.37-0.13-0.240.24-21-2-1919.517.32.1915.117.0-1.86

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki60590.53-0.030.55-0.3831-83914.619.5-4.8919.815.24.57
Marquis Daniels62600.50-0.000.51-0.2626-32914.620.0-5.4219.416.03.34
Antoine Walker52520.440.060.38-0.03167915.317.3-2.0419.416.82.58
Steve Nash51500.310.190.12-0.041211115.516.9-1.4719.317.22.07
Michael Finley49480.280.220.060.07716-915.916.2-0.3118.318.6-0.30
Josh Howard54550.270.230.04-0.14149516.615.11.5317.919.5-1.52
Antawn Jamison42420.110.39-0.27-0.00419-1518.014.13.9517.119.9-2.81
Shawn Bradley19190.060.44-0.38-0.17815-714.916.4-1.4919.218.20.98
Scott Williams13120.000.50-0.500.03-124-2520.815.25.6813.119.4-6.28
Eduardo Najera990.000.50-0.500.03-124-2521.315.45.9213.919.0-5.12
Travis Best990.000.50-0.500.03-124-2521.315.45.9213.919.0-5.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 82, CHH 1060.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
IND 89, UTA 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
ATL 85, BOS 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%