NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	2.4 [1203]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +9.1%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.1 [977]		LVP	Eldridge Recasner (ATL): -13.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	15	79%	0.07	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	13	57%	0.02	4	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	7	28%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	3	60%	-0.00	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Eldridge Recasner	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.23	0.00	-0.09	13	21%	-0.05	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.00	-0.06	15	60%	0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	12	62%	0.07	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Brickowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	0.00	0.11	4	125%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	86%	0.02	4	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Nate Driggers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	10	20%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	12	67%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dino Radja	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	53%	-0.01	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	26.2	15.4	23.6	2.3	24.7	119.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +23.4%

BOS +7.4%

BOS +2.9%

BOS +16.0%

BOS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	15.6	85.0	103.0	104.4
season	16.4	14.8		105.3	101.8
opponent	14.7	16.0		109.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.4	14.7	15.9	14.8	14.7
BOS	14.9	12.6	14.1	15.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivano Newbill	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-12	6	13.6	15.3	-1.70	14.6	13.8	0.81
Donnie Boyce	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-12	6	14.3	14.9	-0.62	14.6	13.9	0.71
Eldridge Recasner	64	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.37	7	-25	32	15.1	13.9	1.25	14.1	14.3	-0.23
Willie Burton	48	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-9	0	14.7	14.6	0.09	13.0	15.2	-2.15
Jon Barry	79	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-12	6	14.4	15.6	-1.21	14.3	13.4	0.96
Mookie Blaylock	26	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	1	-20	13.4	15.1	-1.72	14.9	13.9	0.99
Tyrone Corbin	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	2	-22	15.2	13.1	2.05	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Christian Laettner	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	0	-18	15.2	13.2	1.97	13.9	14.7	-0.72
Dikembe Mutombo	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-5	-8	14.6	14.7	-0.04	14.5	13.4	1.09

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	84	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.36	31	-13	44	14.0	14.8	-0.80	14.8	13.7	1.09
Rick Fox	52	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.47	29	-11	40	13.1	15.3	-2.21	15.6	13.6	2.01
Eric Williams	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	4	10	13.9	14.4	-0.50	14.8	14.5	0.31
Dana Barros	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	12	-6	14.5	13.5	1.02	14.1	15.8	-1.77
Antoine Walker	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	5	8	14.4	13.7	0.69	15.1	14.0	1.12
Dino Radja	59	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	7	4	13.4	15.2	-1.87	14.9	14.3	0.65
Marty Conlon	42	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	13	-8	13.5	14.6	-1.10	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Todd Day	37	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	21	-24	14.5	13.9	0.64	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Frank Brickowski	16	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	20	-22	18.7	13.3	5.41	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Brett Szabo	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.6	14.7	-0.08
Nate Driggers	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	16.1	13.9	2.21	13.9	14.8	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 81, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
DET 79, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
DAL 75, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%