NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	1.9 [1295]		MVP	Jonas Jerebko (UTA): +7.9%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.0 [1259]		LVP	Stanley Johnson (DET): -7.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	13	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	29%	0.00	2	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	16	38%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
James Ennis III	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	8	31%	-0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	9	80%	0.08	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	67%	0.09	3	-0.02	9	44%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.05	10	77%	0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.06	8	82%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	71%	0.06	4	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik McCree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.01	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	9	22%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	25.3	14.8	27.2	2.5	28.3	124.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.7%

UTA +1.5%

UTA +8.1%

DET -4.4%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	14.7	81.4	113.4	107.5
season	14.9	15.1		106.4	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.7		103.3	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.1	13.0	13.5	16.0	14.6
UTA	15.2	16.5	16.5	12.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Ellenson	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-36	41	16.9	14.3	2.65	12.1	15.5	-3.45
Langston Galloway	34	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	-25	19	15.4	14.2	1.25	13.5	16.0	-2.53
Anthony Tolliver	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.34	-18	-13	-5	13.7	15.0	-1.23	14.8	15.2	-0.34
James Ennis III	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-24	17	14.4	14.7	-0.31	16.5	14.6	1.91
Jameer Nelson	54	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	-16	1	14.1	15.3	-1.17	15.3	14.8	0.49
Andre Drummond	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.41	-22	-9	-13	15.1	14.1	1.01	15.6	14.5	1.07
Eric Moreland	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-22	13	14.1	15.1	-1.01	14.5	15.6	-1.07
Ish Smith	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-15	-1	15.3	14.1	1.17	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Blake Griffin	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	-13	-5	14.5	14.8	-0.25	15.9	13.9	1.93
Luke Kennard	75	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.25	-20	-11	-9	14.6	14.6	-0.01	14.7	16.2	-1.47
Stanley Johnson	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.38	-29	-2	-27	14.3	15.3	-0.98	15.9	13.6	2.24

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.59	35	-4	39	15.3	14.6	0.61	14.4	15.1	-0.64
Rudy Gobert	60	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.47	28	3	25	15.3	14.6	0.76	15.1	13.7	1.40
Ricky Rubio	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.54	30	1	29	15.5	14.4	1.05	15.0	14.1	0.97
Joe Ingles	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	12	7	16.4	13.4	2.91	14.1	15.3	-1.12
Derrick Favors	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	13	5	16.1	13.5	2.62	13.3	16.5	-3.27
Jae Crowder	49	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.43	25	6	19	15.2	14.9	0.25	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Jonas Jerebko	38	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	26	-21	14.7	15.3	-0.58	15.3	14.2	1.05
Royce O'Neale	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.37	18	13	5	15.0	15.1	-0.10	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Alec Burks	33	33	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	33	-35	13.5	15.8	-2.30	15.0	14.5	0.52
Georges Niang	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	39	-47	11.2	15.6	-4.45	16.9	14.3	2.61
Erik McCree	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	39	-47	11.0	15.5	-4.53	13.8	14.7	-0.94
Ekpe Udoh	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	36	-41	12.1	15.5	-3.45	16.9	14.3	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 78, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
DET 79, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
CHI 79, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%