inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 86 Excitement3.1 [1146] MVPTim Thomas (MIL): +12.4%
Milwaukee Bucks 109 Comeback1.1 [702] LVPChucky Atkins (DET): -7.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.02-0.06858%0.072-0.00367%-0.00
Corliss Williamson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.03853%0.031-0.00367%-0.00
Richard Hamilton0.020,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.06-0.00-0.081156%0.044-0.025100%0.01
Hubert Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01685%0.073-0.061100%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03360%0.002-0.004100%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021647%-0.001-0.0120%-0.02
Tayshaun Prince-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01437%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00525%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Chucky Atkins-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.070.000.011235%-0.061-0.022100%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.011078%0.1200.00771%-0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.02-0.011275%0.143-0.048100%0.04
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.02-0.03757%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.01-0.00-0.041754%0.092-0.03367%-0.02
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00667%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.06686%0.0300.0020%0.00
Flip Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.001246%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04425%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game540.83.522.016.026.80.228.9638.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +37.7%
MIL +2.6%
MIL +3.4%
MIL +3.7%
MIL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game18.014.715.597.7123.9101.6
season16.815.4101.7106.3
opponent15.815.6106.597.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET22.115.416.218.518.0
MIL13.218.913.813.414.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mehmet Okur2018-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-252718.317.90.4014.214.9-0.72
Zeljko Rebraca1515-0.12-0.390.27-0.03-3-201718.917.81.1419.513.85.78
Hubert Davis4040-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-222116.119.6-3.5116.313.42.86
Jon Barry4243-0.19-0.310.130.16-12-11-116.919.0-2.1215.214.30.92
Corliss Williamson5755-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-12117.618.8-1.2115.313.71.62
Tayshaun Prince4141-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-181317.918.1-0.2514.714.8-0.06
Richard Hamilton5354-0.34-0.16-0.190.21-19-4-1518.517.21.3613.516.7-3.16
Clifford Robinson6364-0.35-0.15-0.210.20-19-4-1517.818.6-0.8014.814.50.27
Chucky Atkins4949-0.36-0.14-0.220.23-20-3-1719.416.23.2013.216.6-3.42
Ben Wallace6061-0.530.03-0.560.26-274-3118.816.22.5514.116.3-2.19

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Cassell58580.470.030.44-0.061851314.215.8-1.6119.115.83.32
Jason Caffey37360.360.140.21-0.08158713.415.7-2.3919.217.12.09
Toni Kukoc33340.310.190.11-0.221851314.614.8-0.1619.916.83.04
Tim Thomas56560.300.200.09-0.11149514.315.5-1.2517.718.4-0.71
Kevin Ollie52520.280.220.07-0.16158715.513.71.8117.718.4-0.68
Michael Redd66670.260.240.03-0.121310314.615.0-0.4117.120.8-3.64
Dan Gadzuric49480.250.25-0.01-0.111211114.015.6-1.5718.617.21.45
Anthony Mason46470.180.32-0.14-0.23149514.614.9-0.2717.818.2-0.39
Ervin Johnson16150.120.38-0.270.03320-1719.713.66.1219.417.71.70
Flip Murray10100.000.50-0.500.09-326-2916.814.52.3313.418.6-5.18
Joel Przybilla1717-0.020.52-0.540.10-427-3115.914.51.4213.019.2-6.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 99, HOU 1140.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
UTA 97, DEN 1170.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
UTA 113, OKC 1220.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%